Fact checked at 9:24 AM ET, Nov 14, 2026Odds as of 7:27 AM ET, Nov 14, 2026
Unbeaten Utah (9-0, 6-0 Big 12) visits Arizona (7-2, 4-2) at 10:30 PM ET at Arizona Stadium. Utah is second in the College Football Playoff rankings, Arizona 23rd. Kickoff got pushed back three hours by travel delays from the nationwide FAA ground stop, and Utah's team was scheduled to fly in on game day. The Utes are 1.5-point favorites (-106), with the total at 55.5.
We think Utah wins a close one and Arizona has to throw a lot to stay in it. The Wildcats average 322.9 passing yards a game. Utah has given up at least 256 net passing yards in each of its last five games and won all five anyway.
Utah vs. Arizona Predictions
Pick #1Noah Fifita 280+ Passing Yards−153
Fifita has reached 280 in seven of his eight games against FBS teams. The exception was 230 in the 28-17 loss at BYU early in the season. His last five: 284 against Cincinnati, 341 at West Virginia, 308 against Iowa State, 417 at Texas Tech and 313 against TCU. He's averaging 314 a game against FBS opponents and completing 73% of his throws.
Utah makes life hard on quarterbacks in one way: opponents complete barely half their passes. It hasn't kept the yardage down, though. Over Utah's last five games, Kansas threw for 333 net yards, Houston 282, BYU 272, Cincinnati 263 and Colorado 256. Two of the five cleared 280. And if Utah gets in front, Arizona's attempt count only climbs. The forecast calls for a dry, mild night with light wind.
At -153, the implied probability is 60.5%. The danger is Utah's pass rush and coverage turning drives into punts or turnovers. BYU is the only FBS defense that has kept Fifita under 280 this season.
Pick #2Utah -1.5−106
Utah has beaten all eight FBS teams it has played, and the narrowest margin was 27-24 at Colorado. It won 31-17 at Iowa State and 49-25 at Cincinnati, and it beat BYU 28-20 last week. Arizona lost at BYU 28-17. Utah's defense allows 16.3 points a game.
Forty-six public projections average Utah by about 4.3 points, and 43 of them have Utah winning. The line asks Utah to win by two. Arizona is also thin on defense. Safety Cam Chapa, cornerback Swayde Griffin, linebacker Max Harris and defensive linemen Kevin Moorer Jr. and Ezra Funa are all out on the latest Big 12 availability report, and safety Malcolm Hartzog Jr. is questionable. On Utah's side, running back Wayshawn Parker is listed as probable.
The -106 price implies 51.5%. Arizona is unbeaten at home and scores 34.2 points a game, nobody knows how a game-day flight will sit with Utah, and a one-point Utah win loses the bet. Still, a Utah lead is exactly the game that keeps Fifita throwing, so both picks need the same night.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
