Fact checked at 7:19 AM ET, Nov 12, 2026Odds as of 6:18 AM ET, Nov 12, 2026
Tennessee Tech (2-1) visits Indiana (3-0) at 6:30 PM ET at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington. Indiana beat Eastern Illinois 91-57 and Bellarmine 92-69 at home, then edged Syracuse 83-80 in Indianapolis. Tennessee Tech is in its first season under Tobin Anderson. It lost 106-88 at Mississippi State and beat Western Kentucky 97-94 at home. The other win, 117-70 over Blue Mountain Christian, came against a team that isn't in Division I, and none of the Tennessee Tech numbers in the two picks below include it. Indiana is laying 25.5 points and the total is 169.5. Put those together and the market is asking Indiana for about 97 or 98 points. We think Indiana wins comfortably with fewer than that, by something in the low 20s in a game that ends in the 160s. Indiana freshman guard Prince-Alexander Moody (knee) is out. Men's college basketball has no availability report, and each team has started the same five in all three of its games.
Tennessee Tech vs. Indiana Predictions
Pick #1Tennessee Tech +25.5−115
Indiana hasn't covered a closing spread in three tries. It beat Eastern Illinois by 34 laying 34.5, Bellarmine by 23 laying 30.5 and Syracuse by 3 laying 5.5. It led Eastern Illinois by as many as 38 and Bellarmine by as many as 30 and gave some of it back both times. Bellarmine trailed by 24 at halftime and won the second half 43-42.
Five public projections average Indiana by 23.1 points, and none of them gets to 25.5. The lowest says 19, the highest 25. All five have Indiana scoring between 90 and 93. If it's 93, Tennessee Tech covers with 68, and -115 is a 53.5% price.
Tennessee Tech got well past 68 at Mississippi State, scoring 88 on a night it made 9 of 32 threes. It lost by 18 as an 18.5-point underdog and never trailed by more than 22. More than half its shots in the two Division I games have been threes, 68 of 124, and 41.2% have gone in.
The weak spot is the Tennessee Tech defense. Mississippi State shot 58% against it, and its two Division I opponents have taken 77 free throws. Indiana has 45 offensive rebounds in three games. If the Hoosiers get to 100, Tennessee Tech needs 75.
Pick #2Under 169.5−110
Tennessee Tech's two Division I games had 194 and 191 points. Neither was an ordinary night. Mississippi State shot 58% and made 12 of 24 threes. The Western Kentucky game had 53 fouls and 84 free throws, and Tennessee Tech made 19 threes, a program record.
Indiana doesn't play at that speed. Its three games had 148, 161 and 163 points, and one public rating ranks it 232nd in the country in tempo, with Tennessee Tech 29th. Indiana has also allowed six fast-break points in each of its three games. At Mississippi State, 20 of Tennessee Tech's 88 came on the break.
The same five projections average 160.0 total points, and they top out at 165. They have Tennessee Tech between 66 and 73 and Indiana in the low 90s, where the market has it in the high 90s. The Under is -110, or 52.4%.
Free throws could undo it. Mississippi State shot 32 against Tennessee Tech and Western Kentucky shot 45, and Indiana has taken 83 in three games and made 77.1%. Both of those Tennessee Tech games beat their closing totals by more than 25 points. Three games also isn't much for a projection to work with, and Tennessee Tech has a new coach. A foul-heavy game at Tennessee Tech's pace is how Indiana gets to 100, and Indiana at 100 is trouble for both picks.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
