Fact checked at 5:46 AM ET, Nov 11, 2026Odds as of 4:54 AM ET, Nov 11, 2026
The Rangers (10-8-1) are in Calgary to face the Flames (8-9-1) at 7:30 PM ET at the Saddledome, the third stop on a four-game Western trip. New York lost 3-1 in Edmonton two nights ago, which ended a three-game winning streak, and it's still the favorite here. The total is 5.5.
We're betting against the Rangers' attack away from home. New York has 39 goals in 10 home games and 17 in nine on the road, where it is 2-6-1 and has been held to one goal or none five times. Calgary lost its first five games, has gone 8-4-1 since, and has won six of its last seven at home. Neither starting goalie is confirmed. Dylan Garand (6-7-1, .905 save percentage) is expected for New York with Igor Shesterkin out for the season. Calgary will go with Devin Cooley (5-3-0, .914) or Dustin Wolf (3-5-1, .869).
Rangers vs. Flames Predictions
Pick #1Flames Moneyline+118
The Rangers have been two different teams this season, and the worse one is in Calgary tonight. At home they are 8-2-0 and score 3.90 goals a game. On the road they score 1.89 and allow 3.56. Calgary's split runs the other way: 6-4-0 at home with 3.30 goals a game, against 1.63 on the road. So the Flames' season scoring rank, 28th at 2.56 goals a game, understates what they do at the Saddledome. At +118 the price implies a 45.9% chance, which is less than a coin flip for the home team in this matchup.
New York's trouble starts at center. Mika Zibanejad and J.T. Miller have four even-strength goals between them in 19 games, and the power play went 0 for 5 in Edmonton.
The Rangers are favored for real reasons. They outshot Edmonton 31-20 in that loss. They kill 89.7% of their penalties, tied for the best rate in the league, and Calgary's power play (28.6%, fourth) is the Flames' best weapon. Calgary also allows 3.50 goals a game, and 95% of moneyline bets and 84% of the money are on New York. The goalie matters most. Cooley was in net for the 4-3 overtime win over Philadelphia in Calgary's last game, and this pick is weaker if Wolf starts.
Pick #2J.T. Miller Under 0.5 Assists−145
Miller's assists have stayed in New York. Seven of his nine came at home. In nine road games he has two, one in Washington and one in Ottawa, and he had none in Seattle or Edmonton on this trip.
His longer record backs the price. He has gone without an assist in 12 of 19 games this season and did the same in 41 of 68 last season. Together that's 60.9%, and -145 works out to 59.2%. Tonight's road game adds to it, because the Rangers score less than half as many goals a game on the road as they do at home. His power-play production has dropped too: he works on the second unit and has two power-play points in 19 games, after 19 in 68 last season.
Miller still centers the second line with Tye Kartye and plays about 19 minutes a night, and he had two assists against St. Louis last week. Calgary allows 3.30 goals a game at home, and Wolf's .869 save percentage would help every Rangers scorer if he starts. If New York's offense finally shows up on the road, Miller will probably be part of it.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
