Fact checked at 5:43 AM ET, Nov 11, 2026Odds as of 4:57 AM ET, Nov 11, 2026
Utah (10-7-1) finishes a six-game road trip in Las Vegas at 9:30 PM ET. It's the first regular-season meeting since Vegas (12-5-2) won the teams' first-round playoff series 4-2 last season. Vegas is a slight favorite and the total is 6.5.
We see goals at both ends. Utah gives up 3.50 a game, and its two goalies have nearly identical numbers: Karel Vejmelka has an .870 save percentage and Sebastian Cossa is at .871. Either could start. Utah scores 3.50 a game too, with a power play that converts 37.1% of its chances, second-best in the league. Vegas has allowed 2.63 goals a game, fifth-fewest, but it will be without defenseman Noah Hanifin, who is week to week. Carter Hart (.900) is the expected Vegas starter.
Mammoth vs. Golden Knights Predictions
Pick #1Mitchell Marner Over 0.5 Assists−120
Marner has 17 assists in 17 games, the most on the team. He's had at least one in 13 of those games and in 12 of his last 13, and the one miss in that run was a 2-1 win in Detroit.
Utah is a good opponent for this bet. It kills 69.6% of its penalties, sixth-worst in the league, and the Vegas power play runs at 26.3%. In Vegas's last game Marner was on the top power-play unit with Jack Eichel and Mark Stone, and he skated on William Karlsson's wing at even strength. Utah has allowed four or more goals in seven of its last 10 games, and defenseman John Marino is on injured reserve.
Marner also had an assist in five of the six playoff games against Utah last season.
At -120 the price implies a 54.5% chance, well below what he has done this season, and last season is the reason. He had an assist in 40 of 81 games, and none in his three regular-season meetings with Utah. We're siding with this season's form and this matchup. A quiet night for the Vegas attack would stop him, and Vegas scored two goals in three of its nine home games. The lines are from the last game and could change.
Pick #2Over 6.5−105
Seven of Vegas's nine home games have reached seven goals. Vegas has stayed Under in four straight, with 5, 5, 3 and 5 goals, but all four came on the road trip it just finished, and Hanifin was in the lineup each time. He plays 20:24 a night, second among Vegas defensemen, and leads the team with 34 blocked shots.
Utah's recent games look the same. Seven of its last 10 reached seven goals, and 10 of 18 have on the season. Its power play gets a Vegas penalty kill that stops 76.5%, in the bottom half of the league, and Nick Schmaltz has seven power-play goals on his own. With the Vegas power play working against Utah's penalty kill at the other end, seven is within reach. The -105 price puts the break-even at 51.2%.
Bettors are on that side too: the Over has 62% of the money on 52% of the bets.
Strong goaltending is the obstacle. Vegas allowed six goals in four games on the trip, and Hart and Adin Hill (.903) have both played well. Utah's Dylan Guenther, who has five power-play goals, missed the last two practices and is questionable. If he sits, Utah's top unit loses a shooter.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
