Fact checked at 5:45 AM ET, Nov 11, 2026Odds as of 4:54 AM ET, Nov 11, 2026
The Flyers (5-10-5) visit the Oilers (13-3-3) at 9:00 PM ET at Rogers Place, the last game of Edmonton's four-game homestand. The Oilers lead the Pacific Division and score 4.05 goals per game, third in the league. Philadelphia won 3-1 in Vancouver two nights ago to end a three-game losing streak, but this is its third game in four nights, all on the road.
We're backing Edmonton's attack with both picks. Connor McDavid has a point in all 19 games and Leon Draisaitl leads the league with 18 goals. The Flyers allow 3.25 goals per game. Edmonton is a heavy favorite, and the total is 6.5. Neither starting goalie is confirmed. Devon Levi is expected for Edmonton. Philadelphia has two options who have played 10 games each: Dan Vladar (.880 save percentage) and Joseph Woll (.902), who was in net for the win in Vancouver.
Flyers vs. Oilers Predictions
Pick #1Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 Assists−170
When Edmonton scores, Bouchard is usually in on it. He has an assist in 16 of 19 games this season and 21 in all, tied for third in the league. The Oilers have scored four or more goals 12 times, and he had an assist in every one of those games.
He plays 25:36 a night and is expected back on the top pair with Mattias Ekholm, and on the first power-play unit with McDavid and Draisaitl. Edmonton converts 32.4% of its power plays, third-best in the league. Eight of Bouchard's assists have come there.
It's a short price. At -170 the break-even is 63.0%, and last season he had an assist in 51 of 82 games (62.2%), almost exactly that. He's at 84.2% this season, so you're betting that this season's Oilers attack shows up again at home.
His three games without an assist all came at Rogers Place, and Edmonton scored three goals in each. Philadelphia kills 80.6% of its penalties. If the Flyers stay out of the box and hold Edmonton to two or three, he can be shut out again.
Pick #2Oilers Team Total Over 3.5−120
At one major book this bet counts regulation goals only, so Edmonton needs four in 60 minutes. The Oilers have done that in 11 of 19 games, or 57.9%. The -120 price implies 54.5%.
The matchup helps. The Flyers allow 28.6 shots per game, and their goalies have combined for an .886 save percentage. Vladar is the lower of the two, and Woll has a 2-6-2 record. In Vancouver the Flyers were outshot 13-2 in the third period, and their own postgame report said the legs got heavy. They've had one day off since.
Edmonton's finishers are in form. Draisaitl has scored twice in each of his last two games, and McDavid has 48 points in 19.
A three-goal night beats this bet. Edmonton stopped at three against the Rangers two nights ago, and its overtime win over Minnesota earlier this season would have fallen short. The Oilers have reached four in regulation in five of 11 home games. Philadelphia has also held 13 of its 20 opponents under four in regulation.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
