Fact checked at 9:12 AM ET, Nov 14, 2026Odds as of 7:27 AM ET, Nov 14, 2026
Georgia (8-1, 6-1 SEC) is No. 1 in the College Football Playoff rankings and hosts No. 22 Missouri (6-3, 3-3) at 3:30 PM ET at Dooley Field at Sanford Stadium in Athens. The Bulldogs are 16-point favorites with the total at 47.5, and 82% of spread bets are on Georgia. They lead the SEC in scoring offense (41.1 points a game) and scoring defense (14.0), and they tend to get ahead in a hurry: Georgia has outscored opponents 108-14 in the first quarter this season. Missouri lost 34-20 to Texas last week and lost starting edge rusher Langden Kitchen for the season in that game.
So we expect Georgia to build a lead and Missouri to spend the afternoon throwing to its two best receivers. In the Tigers' two most recent losses, Austin Simmons threw 44 passes at Ole Miss and 43 against Texas. Both picks ride on that, which means both need Simmons. He needed medical attention during the Texas game but is not on the SEC availability report and is expected to start.
Missouri vs. Georgia Predictions
Pick #1Cayden Lee 50+ Receiving Yards−172
Lee has hit 50 yards in seven of Missouri's eight games against FBS opponents: 120 at Kansas, 156 at Mississippi State, 110 against Florida, 94 against Texas A&M, 62 at Ole Miss, 78 at Arkansas and 79 against Texas. The one miss was 47 against Troy. He has caught at least five passes in all eight and leads the team with 62 catches for 835 yards.
The three losses tell you what happens when Missouri chases. Lee had 156, 62 and 79 in them. Georgia's pass defense is good (186.6 yards allowed a game, fifth in the SEC), but 50 yards is only about a quarter of that, and nobody on Missouri has more receiving yards than Lee. At -172 the price implies 63.2%, which is short of what his FBS record says.
The knee is the risk. Lee was hurt in the fourth quarter against Texas, and coach Eli Drinkwitz said there was no structural damage. "Nothing would shock me more than if he wasn't playing," Drinkwitz said, though he added that he didn't know how Lee's body would respond. Lee has not appeared on any of the SEC's availability reports for this game. If he shows up on the game-day report, this pick is off.
Pick #2Donovan Olugbode 40+ Receiving Yards−172
Olugbode's two misses against FBS teams came in Missouri wins that never required much passing. He had 31 in a win over Troy, and against Texas A&M he was targeted once and didn't catch a pass in a 27-6 win in which Simmons threw for 147 yards. Everywhere else he got to 40: 121 at Kansas, 54 at Mississippi State, 94 against Florida, 127 at Ole Miss, 50 at Arkansas and 40 against Texas. That's six of eight, or 75%, against an implied 63.2% at -172.
Missouri has lost three times, and he had 54, 127 and 40 in those games. For the season he has 43 catches for 624 yards and seven touchdowns.
Georgia can make this hard. Its defense has 31 sacks, and the Texas game shows how little room there is: three catches for exactly 40 yards. Missouri's line has given up nine sacks all season, the fewest per game in the SEC, which helps. Like Lee, Olugbode needs Simmons on the field and throwing from behind.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
