Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction, MLB NLCS Game 2 Odds & Best Bets (10/12)

Fact checked at 8:51 AM ET, Oct 12, 2026

Odds as of Oct 12, 8:11 AM ET

Game 1 of the NLCS took three runs to decide. Brice Turang tied it with a solo homer off Tarik Skubal in the fourth, Luis Lara singled home the go-ahead run in the fifth, and Milwaukee's bullpen threw 4 2/3 scoreless innings after Jacob Misiorowski needed 94 pitches to get 13 outs. The Brewers (103-59) won 2-1 on Sunday and lead the Dodgers (100-62) one game to none. Game 2 is Monday at 5:00 PM ET at American Family Field, on FOX and FS1.

Los Angeles sends Yoshinobu Yamamoto to the mound against Brewers rookie Logan Henderson. The market has moved the Dodgers' way since opening after Game 1, from -130 to -137 on the moneyline (Milwaukee +115), and the total has dropped from 7 to 6.5. We expect a rerun of Sunday. Yamamoto pitches deep, Henderson gives Milwaukee his usual five innings before handing off to a bullpen that has barely been scored on this postseason, and runs stay hard to find. Our two bets cash together in that game, and we like the Yamamoto side of it best.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Predictions

• Pick #1: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 17.5 Outs (-149)
• Pick #2: Under 6.5 (+102)

PICK #1: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 17.5 Outs (-149)

Eighteen outs is a normal night for Yamamoto. He reached that in 25 of his 28 regular-season starts, and his three shorter outings still lasted 15, 16 and 17 outs. He has cleared it six starts running, from 19 outs on Aug. 27 through 21, 21, 21 and 18 in September, and then seven innings on 98 pitches against Atlanta in the division series, when he allowed one run. Milwaukee saw him twice this year and got one run each time while he recorded 21 outs on May 24 and 18 on Aug. 14.

That record says something like 89%. The price, -149, implies 59.8%. The risk is the October hook, and it is real. Dave Roberts pulled Skubal after five innings and 81 pitches on Sunday, and neither Blake Snell nor Tyler Glasnow got through five in the division series. Yamamoto has also said that in the postseason, limiting damage matters more to him than how deep he goes. And the Brewers scored 832 runs this season, second most in the majors.

Still, Yamamoto is the only Dodgers starter Roberts has let pitch seven innings this postseason. He's on five days of rest, and Alex Vesia, Tanner Scott and Evan Phillips all worked Sunday, so Roberts has good reason to let his starter finish the sixth. We'll pay -149 for that.

PICK #2: Under 6.5 (+102)

Game 1 closed at 6 and produced three runs, and the pitching for Game 2 is just as good. Yamamoto carries a 2.53 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP over 185 innings. Henderson is at 2.47 and 0.84 over 98 1/3 innings, he held the Dodgers to one run in 12 innings across two starts this season, and he allowed one earned run in five innings against San Diego in his postseason debut. Behind them sit the staffs that allowed the fewest runs in the majors this season (Dodgers, 600) and the fourth fewest (Brewers, 618). Every one of the last five postseason games for each club stayed under its closing total, except one Milwaukee push.

Henderson has gone exactly five innings in each of his last four starts, so expect Milwaukee's bullpen to cover four innings again. Brewers relievers have a 0.38 ERA through five postseason games. Abner Uribe, Aaron Ashby, Trevor Megill and DL Hall all pitched Sunday, so some of them would be working a second straight day.

We're getting +102 here, which implies 49.5%: a coin flip that pays a little extra. What sinks it is a home run or two. Henderson allowed 14 in his 98 1/3 innings and Yamamoto 20 in 185, and both lineups finished in the top four in runs scored, the Dodgers with 801 and the Brewers with 832.

21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.