Brewers vs. Rays Prediction, MLB World Series Game 3 Odds & Best Bets (10/26)

Fact checked at 8:08 AM ET, Oct 26, 2026

Odds as of 7:39 AM ET, Oct 26, 2026

The World Series moves to Tropicana Field for Game 3, with first pitch at 8:00 PM ET on FOX. Milwaukee leads 2-0 after a 3-2 win in Game 1 and a 5-4 win in Game 2, and Tampa Bay has scored six runs in the two games.

Freddy Peralta, the ALCS MVP, starts for the Rays. His regular-season ERA was 4.42 over 169 innings, split between the Mets and the Rays, and 3.25 over 55.1 innings after the trade. Milwaukee counters with left-hander Robert Gasser, who has allowed one run in nine innings over two postseason starts. The Rays are -120 on the moneyline and the Brewers -100, with the total at 7 (Over -116, Under -100). The total hasn't moved from where it opened, and almost nine in ten bets are on the Over.

We think Gasser keeps the Rays quiet. Lefties hit .163 against him this season, the two Rays with the most hits in this series bat left-handed, and the Rays were a weaker lineup against left-handed pitching all year. So we're taking Gasser Under 1.5 earned runs and Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs.

Brewers vs. Rays Predictions

• Pick #1: Robert Gasser Under 1.5 Earned Runs (-137)
• Pick #2: Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-146)

PICK #1: Robert Gasser Under 1.5 Earned Runs (-137)

Gasser has allowed one earned run or none in each of his last six starts, two of them in the postseason: one run in four innings against San Diego in the NLDS clincher, then five scoreless innings against the Dodgers in the NLCS. Going back to his relief outing against the Mets, it's seven of eight appearances at one or fewer.

His split fits this matchup: left-handed hitters batted .163 with a .552 OPS against Gasser in the regular season, compared with .257 and .765 for righties. Jonathan Aranda and Chandler Simpson, who have seven of the Rays' 14 hits in this series, both bat left. Tampa Bay as a team posted a .679 OPS against lefties this season, versus .752 against right-handers.

His short leash helps too. Milwaukee pulled him after 56 and 72 pitches in his two postseason starts, and its relievers have a 1.24 ERA through 10 postseason games. Fewer innings for Gasser means fewer chances for runs to land on his line. The -137 implies 57.8%.

The risk is Tampa Bay's right-handed platoon. The Rays are expected to lean on right-handed bats against him, and those hitters have handled him much better, including 13 of the 15 home runs he allowed in the regular season. One two-run homer loses this.

PICK #2: Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-146)

If Gasser and the Milwaukee bullpen keep the Rays to a few runs, the lower part of Tampa Bay's order is where the quiet nights pile up. DeLuca has batted sixth or seventh in each of his last five starts and has finished at one or fewer in four of them. He went hitless in Game 1, hitless in two ALCS games at Cleveland (with an RBI in one), and drove in a run without a hit in the ALCS clincher.

The usual platoon logic doesn't help him here. DeLuca is a right-handed hitter, but his .666 OPS against left-handers this season was well below his .773 against right-handers, with two of his 11 home runs off lefties. Projected lineups have him in center field and batting fifth or sixth.

At -146, the Under implies 59.3%, and the run environment is why we'd pay it. The total is 7, and the Rays have scored two and four runs in this series and the bullpen behind Gasser has barely given anything up.

The miss in his last five came in Game 2, when he had two hits, including a double. Two hits, or a hit and a run, beats it. This also assumes he starts; if he doesn't, most books void the prop.

21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.