Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction, MLB NLCS Game 4 Odds & Best Bets (10/15)

Fact checked at 8:10 AM ET, Oct 15, 2026

Odds as of Oct 15, 8:05 AM ET

Milwaukee is one win from the World Series. The Brewers won 2-1 and 7-4 at home, then took Game 3 at Dodger Stadium 6-2 on Wednesday when Jake Bauers hit a go-ahead two-run homer in the seventh and Garrett Mitchell went deep right behind him. Los Angeles has scored 1, 4 and 2 runs in the series, with Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman both playing hurt.

Tyler Glasnow starts for the Dodgers. Milwaukee hasn't named anyone. "There will be pitching," manager Pat Murphy said, and it will be a bullpen game, with Dustin May, Kyle Harrison, Shane Drohan and Chad Patrick the options the club has named. The Dodgers opened -174 and are down to -157, with the Brewers +130. The total is 7.5 (Over -105, Under -115). First pitch is Thursday at 8 p.m. ET on FS1.

We think Milwaukee's lineup gets to Glasnow. The Brewers had the best on-base percentage in the majors (.341), scored 832 runs (second only to the Cubs) and have put up 7 and 6 in the last two games. Both picks ride on that offense, with Brice Turang hitting second in the middle of it.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Predictions

• Pick #1: Tyler Glasnow Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-136)
• Pick #2: Brice Turang Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+114)

PICK #1: Tyler Glasnow Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-136)

Two earned runs is a normal night for Glasnow. He allowed at least that many in nine of his 13 regular-season starts (3.53 ERA over 74 innings) and in four of his last five, which went 3, 2, 4, 4 and 1, most recent first. This Brewers lineup chased Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the third inning of Game 2 and scored four runs in six innings off Blake Snell in Game 3.

Length is the obvious risk. His one start this postseason, the Division Series clincher at Atlanta, lasted 4 2/3 innings and 78 pitches: five walks, one run. With the season on the line, the Dodgers have nearly their whole bullpen ready, Edwin Diaz included. An early hook doesn't save him, though, since any runner he leaves on base who scores is charged to him. His history in October is good (a 1.73 career postseason ERA, 5 earned runs in 26 innings) and he gave Milwaukee one run in 5 2/3 innings in Game 3 of last year's NLCS, though his ERA in nine career regular-season games against the Brewers is 4.55. Hitters batted just .175 against him this year, so the runs will come from walks and traffic, and nobody in baseball got on base more than Milwaukee. At -136 the book is asking for 57.6%, and we have him a bit above that.

PICK #2: Brice Turang Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+114)

Turang had 156 hits, 102 runs and 100 RBIs this season, and he got to two combined in 89 of his 149 games with at least three plate appearances. He was better against right-handers (.291 average, .391 on-base). Batting second in all three games of this series, he has combined for 3, 6 and 2, clearing the line every night. A +114 price implies only 46.7%.

Los Angeles allowed the fewest runs in baseball (600), and Turang went hitless in the first two games of the Division Series. Still, the No. 2 hitter gets about four and a half trips to the plate, and in this lineup one hit and one run scored is enough.

21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.