Fact checked at 9:10 AM ET, Nov 14, 2026Odds as of 7:27 AM ET, Nov 14, 2026
Alabama (7-2, 5-2 SEC) visits Vanderbilt (4-5, 1-5 SEC) at 12:45 PM ET at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville as a 14-point favorite, with the total at 47.5. The Crimson Tide won 31-13 at LSU last week, and Vanderbilt won 25-23 at Mississippi State. Multiple national reports say Alabama is expected to start Austin Mack at quarterback, which would be his first college start. Keelon Russell hurt his ankle at LSU, is listed as probable and is expected to be available only if needed. We're looking at the other sideline. A two-touchdown home underdog has to throw, Alabama's defense has allowed 239.9 passing yards a game, and that should be enough work for freshman Jared Curtis and his running back out of the backfield.
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Predictions
Pick #1Jared Curtis 190+ Passing Yards−162
In seven games against FBS teams, Curtis has thrown for 190 or more six times: 210 against Delaware, 277 against NC State, 199 at Auburn, 222 against Ole Miss, 274 against Arkansas and 247 at Kentucky. At -162 the book is asking for 61.8%, and six of seven leaves room to spare.
Alabama's opponents have reached 190 passing yards in six of nine games, including 380 by LSU last week and 377 by Florida State. Teams that fall behind the Tide throw, and Curtis attempted between 31 and 36 passes in each of Vanderbilt's three most recent losses.
His one miss came in the win at Mississippi State, when Vanderbilt ran 52 times and he threw just 27 passes for 168 yards. If Alabama's offense sputters with a first-time starter and this stays close and slow, Vanderbilt could go back to that plan. Alabama's defense also has 13 interceptions in nine games, and Curtis has thrown eight this season.
Pick #2Sedrick Alexander 15+ Receiving Yards−130
Alexander has caught three passes in each of Vanderbilt's last three games, for 40 yards against Arkansas, 29 at Kentucky and 30 at Mississippi State, and he is Curtis's outlet out of the backfield.
The Mississippi State game is the encouraging one. Vanderbilt ran 52 times that day and Alexander carried 21 of them, yet he still caught three passes. He doesn't need a shootout, just snaps alongside Curtis, and he's been getting them. The depth chart lists Alexander or MK Young at running back, and Young has one catch in Vanderbilt's last four games.
The price implies 56.5%. Across Curtis's seven FBS games, Alexander has reached 15 receiving yards five times, though two of those landed on exactly 15 with two catches each, and he had one catch for 7 against Ole Miss. If Young starts taking the passing-down snaps, three catches can turn into one.
Both picks are built on Curtis starting, as expected. If he doesn't, we're off both.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
