Wimbledon Tennis women’s singles winner picks
Wimbledon, the third of four Grand Slams on the annual tennis calendar, gets underway on Monday at the All-England Club in London. Whereas Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz are significant favorites on the men’s side, the women’s event looks to be relatively wide open – even though world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka is understandably viewed as the cream of the crop. No other woman has title odds better than +500, but four others are priced at +1100 or better.
Among those also in the mix to challenge Sabalenka are Elena Rybakina, Coco Gauff, Iga Swiatek and Mirra Andreeva. Gauff recently triumphed at Roland Garros, but she – like Swiatek – has not enjoyed as much success on grass compared to clay. Let’s break down the odds and the best bets to make for the Wimbledon women’s singles event.
Wimbledon women's singles odds
Sabalenka has been in stellar form for the most part this season, and her power game is particularly suited for grass, so it makes sense that she is the favorite. The Belarusian does, however, have plenty of company near the top. Rybakina, Gauff, Swiatek, Marketa Vondrousova and Madison Keys are all former Grand Slam champions who know how to meet the moment on tennis’ biggest stages. Here is the shortlist of favorites to win the Wimbledon women’s singles title:
Aryna Sabalenka +275
Elena Rybakina +500
Coco Gauff +650
Mirra Andreeva +1000
Iga Swiatek +1100
Marketa Vondrousova +1400
Madison Keys +1600
Jasmine Paolini +2500
Predictions
Pick #1: Coco Gauff to win Wimbledon (+650)
Pick #2: Iga Swiatek to win Wimbledon (+1100)
Pick #3: Jessica Pegula to win Wimbledon (+4000)
PICK #1: Coco Gauff to win Wimbledon (+650)
Gauff just won the most recent Grand Slam event on the red clay of Roland Garros and there is no reason why she can’t get the job done on the lawns of London. Even though grass may be her worst surface (and the only one on which she has never lifted a major trophy), the 21-year-old has reached the Wimbledon fourth round on three occasions – including as a 15-year-old in 2019. As the No. 2 seed, Gauff is guaranteed to avoid Sabalenka at least until the final. If the American can avoid the service yips that she managed to steer clear of at the French Open, a third slam title could be on the way.
PICK #2: Iga Swiatek to win Wimbledon (+1100)
It’s pretty simple: getting Swiatek all the way at +1100 to win a tennis tournament should not be passed up. Although it is true that the Pole’s style of play is least effective on grass, her overall game is such that she always has a chance to win any time she takes the court. Swiatek was a Wimbledon quarterfinalist in 2023 and it’s also worth noting that she won the U.S. Open in 2022, so it’s not like she is a complete stranger to winning in fast conditions.
PICK #3: Jessica Pegula to win Wimbledon (+4000)
Especially on the women’s side that has no dominant force along the lines of Sinner and Alcaraz, it’s worth taking a stab at a longshot. Among the best such candidates is Pegula, who seems to be on the verge of her first major title. The 31-year-old was runner-up at the U.S. Open last summer and she has been a quarterfinalist six other times at Grand Slams – including at Wimbledon in 2023. Pegula quietly comes in at No. 3 in the rankings, and a top-four seed in London means she is guaranteed to avoid both Sabalenka and Gauff at least until the semis. That alone gives her solid value at +4000 odds.
