Fact checked at 5:45 AM ET, Nov 11, 2026Odds as of 4:54 AM ET, Nov 11, 2026
San Antonio (9-2) brings a nine-game winning streak to Chicago (1-8) for an 8:00 PM ET tip at the United Center, and the Spurs are 15.5-point favorites over a Bulls team that has dropped seven straight. Nobody in the league plays faster than Chicago, and nobody gives up more points: 129.3 a game, with no opponent held under 124. Bulls opponents also average 49.6 rebounds, the most in the league. That is a lot of extra possessions against a defense that can't stop them, and both picks here ride it with San Antonio's two young starting guards. Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper have started all 11 games and are expected to start again. On the latest injury report, Tobias Harris is out and Devin Vassell is questionable for the Spurs, while Norman Powell, Zach Collins and Tobe Awaka are questionable for the Bulls.
Spurs vs. Bulls Predictions
- Pick #1Stephon Castle 25+ Points + Rebounds + Assists−191
- Pick #2Dylan Harper 20+ Points + Assists−200
Pick #1Stephon Castle 25+ Points + Rebounds + Assists−191
Start with how long Castle has been doing this. He has put up 25 or more combined points, rebounds and assists in 9 of 11 games this season, and as a full-time starter last season he did it in 53 of 69 games before the playoffs. That's 62 of 80, or 77.5%. The -191 price implies 65.6%.
He has three ways to get there. Castle averages 14.3 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.2 assists in 29.1 minutes, and Chicago is generous with the last two: Bulls opponents average more rebounds than anyone else's and 29.7 assists, one of the three highest figures in the league. Against Dallas last week he had 17 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists.
With a 15.5-point spread, minutes are the obvious question. So far they haven't been a problem. The Spurs have won six games by 15 or more and Castle cleared 25 in five of them, including 26 in 24 minutes of a 22-point win at Portland.
Both misses came down to shooting. He went scoreless on four shots and picked up four fouls in 22 minutes against Minnesota, and two nights ago at Phoenix he scored 4 points on 2-of-10 shooting and finished with 19 even with 8 rebounds and 7 assists. He also scores and passes less than he did last season (16.7 points and 7.4 assists then), so the long record flatters him a little. Another cold night from the field would sink it.
Pick #2Dylan Harper 20+ Points + Assists−200
There's no pretending -200 is cheap. A miss costs twice what a win returns, and the implied chance is 66.7%. Harper has earned the price so far: 20 or more points plus assists in 9 of 11 games, never fewer than 17, at least 13 points every night. He averages 18.0 points and 4.4 assists in 31.4 minutes.
That record is only 11 games old, though. Harper is in his second season, and as a rookie he came off the bench for 22.6 minutes a night and reached 20 in just 20 of 70 games before the playoffs. The starting job is what changed, and it doesn't hinge on Vassell. Harper started next to him 10 times and without him at Phoenix, where he had 17 points and 4 assists.
A rout is the risk. His two misses, a 19 and a 17, came in wins by 27 and 22, and he is 4 of 6 in the Spurs' wins by 15 or more. Tonight's opponent is why we'd still take it. Chicago's pace adds possessions, and its defense gives up points on them. When the Knicks beat the Bulls 135-105 a week ago, Jalen Brunson needed only 28 minutes for 33 points and 4 assists. Harper needs 20, and he has averaged 22.4 against better defenses than this one.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
