French Open Tennis men’s singles winner picks
The French Open – the second major on tennis’ annual calendar – will begin at Roland Garros in Paris, France on Sunday. This marks the tournament’s first installment since fourteen-time champion Rafael Nadal retired, so you might think the title would be up for grabs to a greater extent than whenever Nadal played on his Parisian stomping grounds. However, Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz surely have other ideas. With Nadal and Roger Federer having retired while Djokovic is slumping, Sinner and Alcaraz have cemented themselves as by far the best players on the ATP Tour.
Sinner heads to Paris as the top seed and Alcaraz is the defending champion, but that’s not to say that everyone else is entirely without chances. Novak Djokovic is still hanging around at 37 years old and in contention for what would be Grand Slam title No. 25, while Alexander Zverev once again seeks his first major triumph.
Let’s break down the odds and the best bets to make for the French Open men’s singles event.
French Open men's singles odds
Alcaraz and Sinner are the top two favorites on the men’s side to lift La Coupe des Mousquetaires. After that, there’s everyone else. Among the remaining contenders, Zverev, Djokovic and two-time runner-up Casper Ruud have the best odds to win.
Here is the short list of favorites:
- Carlos Alcaraz +120
- Jannik Sinner +175
- Novak Djokovic +1500
- Alexander Zverev +1600
- Casper Ruud +2500
- Jack Draper +3000
- Stefanos Tsitsipas +3000
- Lorenzo Musetti +3000
French Open Men’s Singles Predictions
Pick #1: Jannik Sinner to win the French Open (+175)
Pick #2: Alexander Zverev to win the French Open (+1600)
Pick #3: Lorenzo Musetti to win the French Open (+3300)
PICK #1: Jannik Sinner to win the French Open (+175)
Odds of +175 are not particularly enticing for Sinner, but at least they give him better value than Alcaraz. The top-ranked Italian just lost to Alcaraz in the Rome final this past week, but that was Sinner’s first event since being suspended from tennis for three months stemming from a positive doping test in 2024. Reaching the championship match in your first tournament since January is nothing to sneeze at, especially when it features a 6-0, 6-1 demolition of Ruud. Now that he has some matches under his belt, Sinner can only be expected to improve in Paris.
PICK #2: Alexander Zverev to win the French Open (+1600)
Zverev had a chance to take over the No. 1 ranking in those three months for which Sinner was absent, but the German cracked under the weight of such pressure. Well, the pressure is off now. No one is talking about Zverev as a potential No. 1 player in the world and no one is talking about anyone other than Sinner and Alcaraz as a realistic French Open title contender. Perhaps those are the circumstances in which Zverev will finally strike. The 28-year-old is by no means on fire right now, but he won the Munich tournament last month and let’s not forget that he played in the Roland Garros final 12 months ago – losing to Alcaraz in five sets.
PICK #3: Lorenzo Musetti to win the French Open (+3000)
If you are in the business of an even longer shot than Zverev, Musetti could be your man. And why not? Nobody other than Sinner and Alcaraz is playing better than the Italian these days. Up to No. 8 in the rankings, Musetti’s clay-court swing features a runner-up effort in Monte-Carlo and back-to-back semifinal showings in Madrid and Rome. He was also the bronze medalist at the 2024 Paris Olympics – which was played on none other than the clay courts of Roland Garros.
