Euro 2024 Final Picks July 14

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by The OddsCrowd Analysts

The Euro 2024 Final is upon us after a thrilling, memorable tournament that started with 24 nations fighting for European supremacy, but we are now down to just two. Spain fought their way to the final the hard way, edging the tournament hosts Germany in the quarterfinals before seeing off 2018 World Cup winners France. England needed some luck to make their way to the final, defeating Slovakia in extra time, Switzerland on penalties and relied on a last-minute goal to see off the Netherlands.

Who will come out victorious? Let’s get into our Euro 2024 Final picks for Spain vs England.

Euro 2024 Final Predictions

Pick #1 - Spain to Lift the Trophy (-150)

Pick #2 - Both Teams to Score (+100)

Pick #3 - Under 4.5 Cards (-120)

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Euro 2024 Final Picks: Spain to Lift the Trophy (-150)

England may have been the tournament favorites before Euro 2024 got underway, but Spain is the rightful favorite for this clash. La Roja have been superb from start to finish in this tournament, with the highlight being the breakout of teenage sensation Lamine Yamal, whose phenomenal goal against France saw the 16-year-old make all kinds of headlines.

Simply put, the Spanish have run rings around their opponents, having also crushed Croatia 3-0 before earning a 1-0 victory over Euro 2020 winners Italy in a game that wasn’t nearly as close as the score suggests.

England has plenty of quality in their team to compete and boast an embarrassment of riches in attack, but Gareth Southgate’s men have looked lackluster up top for the most part, beating only Serbia and the Netherlands within 90 minutes during the entire tournament so far. They have relied on moments of brilliance to get this far, but that may not cut it against a Spain team that looks every bit worthy of being crowned European champions.

Euro 2024 Final Picks: Both Teams to Score (+100)

Both Spain and England boasted rigid defenses entering the knockout phase, conceding just one goal combined in the entire group stage. However, things have opened up a bit for each of them since then and given the attacking talent they each possess, there is plenty of value in backing both teams to find the net at plus-money odds.

Neither nation has managed to record a shutout in their knockout games, having even conceded to lowly Georgia and Slovakia in the Last 16, while Spain’s Dani Olmo and England’s Harry Kane are vying to win the tournament’s Golden Boot, with each currently sat on three goals. Finals do tend to be cagey, but it’s worth taking a shot at both teams to score at favorable odds.

Euro 2024 Final Picks: Under 4.5 Cards (-120)

This one is a bit of a quirky prop to wrap things up, but this line on the number of cards looks too high. For starters, referee Francois Letexier has covered three games so far in the Euros, and each of them went under this line (four, four and two cards).

He showed leniency at times as well in those games, a sharp contrast to some of the other officials in this tournament, and a similar approach can be expected if this is indeed a cagey game. It’s also worth noting that the game in which Letexier showed two cards featured Spain in their 4-1 win over Georgia. 

There were six cards in England’s semifinal game against the Netherlands, but only two before the 86th minute when emotions ran high around Ollie Watkins’ winner. Spain, meanwhile, saw just two cards shown in their game against France. Under 4.5 cards look the way to go in this one.

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