Fact checked at 8:02 AM ET, Nov 10, 2026Odds as of 7:27 AM ET, Nov 10, 2026
Milwaukee (1-9) has lost six straight, the latest a 117-97 home loss to Boston two nights ago, and now visits Madison Square Garden for a 7:30 PM ET tip. The Knicks (5-4) have won three in a row and are 15.5-point favorites. New York looks built to run this game at both ends. Jalen Brunson draws a defense that gives up 121.6 points a game, 27th in the league. On the other end, New York allows 104.2, tied with Oklahoma City for the fewest, and it faces a Bucks rotation that has already shifted minutes to rookie Brayden Burries. Tyler Herro (Bucks) and Josh Hart (Knicks) are both questionable on the latest injury report.
Bucks vs. Knicks Predictions
- Pick #1Jalen Brunson Over 28.5 Points + Rebounds−116
- Pick #2Jaime Jaquez Jr. Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists−117
Pick #1Jalen Brunson Over 28.5 Points + Rebounds−116
Brunson's season splits by opponent. Five of his games came against defenses ranked 18th or worse in points allowed (Chicago twice, Cleveland, Brooklyn, Orlando), and he put up 39, 35, 37, 21 and 31 points plus rebounds, clearing this line four times. Against Philadelphia, Boston and Detroit, three top-eight defenses, he cleared it once in four games.
Only Chicago ranks below Milwaukee on that list. The Bucks have given up at least 109 in each of their last five games. Brunson averages 26.2 points and 3.0 rebounds, 29.2 combined over nine games, so this number asks for an ordinary night. The -116 price implies a 53.7% chance.
A 15.5-point spread is the catch, since a blowout can send starters to the bench early. So far that hasn't hurt him much. He played 28 minutes in the 135-105 rout of Chicago and still finished with 35. The 103-90 win over Brooklyn went the other way: 21. Whether Hart plays doesn't change the case.
Pick #2Jaime Jaquez Jr. Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists−117
Burries moved into the starting five four games ago, and Jaquez has had less to work with since. Burries played 21 minutes or fewer in each of his first six games and has averaged about 29 in his four starts. Over those four, Jaquez went 29, 22, 20 and 8 in points, rebounds and assists, staying under this line three times while averaging 13.8 points. The 8 came in the Boston loss, in 23 minutes.
His season averages run higher: 15.2 points, 5.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists, which add up to more than 22.5. He has gone over this number in five of 10 games, but most of those came early, before Burries' minutes grew. Tonight he gets the Knicks' defense, tied for the fewest points allowed, while playing for an offense that scores 108.4 a game, 25th in the league. At -117, that works out to 53.9%.
Herro is the risk here. He has played every game, and this pick assumes he plays tonight. If he sits, more shots could go to Jaquez, and his 29 at Minnesota shows he can still get there.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
