NFL Week 2. Our 5 Best Free Picks

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Our Algorithm has been providing value to OddsCrowd followers. 3-0 yesterday, and Marshall at +950 last week.

Here are our five best picks for the NFL Sunday.


Patriots @ Steelers: Pats to Cover

The Pats were terrible in Week 1 against the Dolphins. And they face off against the Steelers on the road this week, who just beat defending AFC champions. These two facts suggest the Pats are going to have a tough day. We’re going contrarian though.

We think there is a large recency bias in the early rounds, with the public often applying too much importance on a small amount of football.

Our Algorithm agrees. It sees a 3.1% edge at the time of writing when betting on the Patriots at -2.5 with Pointsbet (the best odds).

The smart money also seems to have identified the value at the Spread, with a +28% money vs bets differential.

Pick: Patriots -2.5

See Game Preview with Best Odds, Free Picks, Consensus Stats and Odds Moves here


Jets @ Browns: Playing the Game Total

The Browns face the Jets, with the chance to go 2-0 for the first time in 29 years. It’s been just as depressing for Jets fans, with their losing streak in September games stretching back 13 straight games. Their last win was in September was week 1 2018.

We think the value is in playing the Game Total here. It’s been coming in all week, but our Algorithm still sees a 3.2% Edge with the Under. 

The Public Money trend is also favouring it, with over 90% of the money being held.

Pick: Under 39.5

See Game Preview with Best Odds, Free Picks, Consensus Stats and Odds Moves here

Buccs @ Saints: Buccs to go 2-0

The Buccs put the Cowboys to the sword on Sunday Night Football. The Saints took down the Falcons, but it was hardly convincing. It could’ve gone either way with a last minute comeback getting them the W. The trend has been towards the Buccs, and we still see value.

 Top Performing bettor Cbarry05 is taking the Buccs at -2.5.  

Our Algorithm is suggesting a bet on the Moneyline, not giving away the 2.5. In the algorithm we trust.

Pick: Buccs ML

See Game Preview with Best Odds, Free Picks, Consensus Stats and Odds Moves here


Colts @ Jaguars: Jags can't win

If you include Preseason, the Jaguars haven’t beaten the spread, or won for the last 5 games. Further to that, only 8 months ago they lost 11-26 (and ATS) to the Colts. 

Put simply, we can’t back them.

Pick: Colts -3

See Game Preview with Best Odds, Free Picks, Consensus Stats and Odds Moves here


Seahawks @ 49ers: We're tailing the sharps

We’re tailing the sharps (CBarry05, Egross1075 and Mike Rose) from the OddsCrowd community in this matchup, and betting the Seahawks rough start will get worse.

Pick: 49ers -9.5

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