Dr A's Best Bets & Props for Monday 28 Nov

Hopefully y’all had a fabulous Thanksgiving weekend filled with football, hoops and turkey! Monday night should be a fun one with the Steelers visiting the Colts and a full slate of NBA action with 10 teams in action.

Best NBA Props

Ayo Dosunmu rebounds 2.5 – Dosunmu hits his rebounding target nearly 90 percent of the time and is going against the Utah Jazz, ranked 21^st in rebounds allowed. He’s had three rebounds in three straight games and has hit that number in 10 of his 12 games this month.

Tyrese Haliburton points 18.5 – I think Haliburton will score at least 19 tonight. He’s having a breakout season, he hits his point totals almost 70 percent of the time and the Pacers are playing the 21^st-ranked defense of the Lakers.

Jalen Smith assists 0.5 – Smith hits his assists target 74 percent of the time and has a nice matchup with the Lakers tonight, who rank 23^rd in assists allowed. After recording at least one assist in six straight games to kick off November, Smith has now gone two straight games without dropping a dime. And, hopefully, that just means he’s due.

Best NBA Pick for the Night

The Thunder are somewhat unpredictable because coach Mark Daigneault changes his lineup as often as most of us change our socks. But the Thunder rarely get blown out and have remained pretty competitive despite ownership’s strong desire to tank. They lost at Houston by 13 on Saturday but had kept the margin to 11 or fewer points in their previous eight games, including back-to-back overtime losses to the Knicks and Nuggets on Wednesday and Friday. Brandon Ingram (toe) is doubtful and the Pelicans will also be without C.J. McCollum (health protocols). The Thunder come into this one at nearly full strength and should be able to compete, especially with the Pelicans’ injury woes. Trey Murphy should start for Ingram and will be a very popular play in DFS tonight.  

Pick: Thunder +5.5

Best NFL Pick for the Night

I like the suddenly decent Colts -2.5 at home against a Steelers team that is 1-4 over their last five games and is also 1-4 on the road this season.

I like Colts running back Jonathan Taylor to get into the end zone at least once tonight. After going five straight weeks without a TD and looking like one of the biggest first-pick fantasy busts ever, Jeff Saturday and Matt Ryan stepped in and rejuvenated Taylor. He gashed the Raiders for 147 yards and a TD two weeks ago and hit the Eagles with 84 yards and a touchdown last Sunday. He’s back.

Wide receiver Dionte Johnson seems like a breakout candidate for the Steelers after struggling for most of the season and averaging just 8.9 yards per catch. Indy’s D should force the Steelers to throw the ball more and OC Matt Canada has been talking about getting Johnson more involved in the offense with Kenny Pickett. “He’s a guy we want to get the ball more,” said Canada. “We understand how talented he is.”

Pick: Colts-2.5