Best Bet, Best Total, Best Prop & a +607 Parlay for Steelers v Colts
The Colts head into Monday Night Football having not beaten the Steelers in the last four attempts, dating back to November 2016.
Best Bet
This is shaping up as a battle between two very strong defences, and two relatively weak offfenses. Since TJ Watt has returned from injury, the Steelers have been very miserly, while the Colts have given the 4th least yards of all teams this season. With a stat like that, you have to consider how they are only 4-6. The reason is that they can’t score. They’re the second worst team in the league for points per game (15.7). This is reflected in that they are only 1-4 against the spread when favored.
Top performing bettors featherhat (248-225) and Mike Rose (61-49) both like the look of the Steelers. featherhat is picking them at the +2.5 spread, while Mike Rose is picking them at the Moneyline. The OddsCrowd Algorithm also sees value in the Steelers, seeing a 2.3% +EV Edge at +2.5.
Pick: Steelers +2.5
Game Total Bet
The OddsCrowd Algorithm is seeing a 2.2% +EV Edge on the Under for the Game Total line at 39.5 at the time of writing. Giving us extra confidence is that 14 or the last 16 games have gone Under the total match points line.
Pick: Under 39.5
Best Prop
We like the look of the Steelers offensive yards plays. Diontae Johnson has recorded 56+ receiving yards in eight of the Steelers’ last nine November games.
Pick: Diontae Johnson 43+ Receiving Yards
Same Game Parlay - +607 Same Game Parlay
Leg 1: Steelers +2.5
Leg 2: Under 39.5
Leg 3: Diontae Johnson 43+ Receiving Yards
