Fact checked at 8:00 AM ET, Nov 10, 2026Odds as of 7:24 AM ET, Nov 10, 2026
Wyoming (2-0) plays its first road game of the season tonight at North Carolina (2-0), with tip-off at 7:00 PM ET at the Dean E. Smith Center. Both teams have been scoring in the 90s. North Carolina averages 94.5 points after beating Western Carolina 80-72 and Wofford 109-70, and it has won 20 straight at home. Wyoming averages 94.0 after wins over Regis, a Division II school, 95-48 and Idaho State 93-62. Look for a fast game with a lot of free throws and second chances, and a North Carolina win by less than 15. One public ratings model projects North Carolina by about 13 with 159 total points, which clears the total and keeps Wyoming inside the number. Men's college basketball has no availability report, so both starting fives are projected, and neither school has listed an injury.
Wyoming vs. North Carolina Predictions
Pick #1Over 155.5−110
Start at the foul line. North Carolina has taken 64 free throws in two games, and Wyoming ranked 343rd and 360th in Division I in defensive free-throw rate in Sundance Wicks' first two seasons. Idaho State shot 31% from the floor in Laramie and still got 27 free-throw attempts. Every trip to the line stops the clock and puts points on the board.
The Cowboys also lead the country in offensive rebound percentage, and they grabbed 21 offensive boards against Idaho State. North Carolina has been soft on the glass (Western Carolina outrebounded it 41-32 in the opener), so expect extra possessions. Wyoming can shoot, too. It is 15 of 39 from three, and Western Carolina made 10 of 24 from deep in Chapel Hill.
That model's projection adds up to 159 points, and a Tar Heels beat preview picked North Carolina by 11 with 157 total points. At -110 the implied probability is 52.4%. Only one of the four games these teams have played went past 155.5, North Carolina's 179-point win over Wofford, though Wyoming's win over Idaho State finished at 155. Both defenses have held opponents to about 34% shooting. A half-court game with cold road shooting would leave this short.
Pick #2Wyoming +14.5−114
The ratings see a smaller margin than the line does. The same model has North Carolina by 12.5, and the beat preview has an 11-point game. Wyoming won both of its games by 30 or more, with Nasir Meyer (14.5 points) and Khaden Bennett (14) leading a balanced group, and it allows 55 points a game.
The glass is how Wyoming stays close. North Carolina's frontcourt has struggled to rebound, and crashing the offensive boards is what the Cowboys do best. Second shots cut into the runs a deeper team uses to pull away. At -114, the implied chance is 53.3%.
North Carolina's depth is the danger. Its bench scored 58 against Wofford, and Wyoming is making its first trip of the season, across the country to a building where the Tar Heels have won 20 in a row. If North Carolina controls the boards the way it did against Wofford, the margin can grow past 15 late.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
