Fact checked at 7:15 AM ET, Nov 12, 2026Odds as of 6:21 AM ET, Nov 12, 2026
The Wild (13-3-4) visit the Maple Leafs (8-10-2) at 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena, the fifth game of a six-game Toronto homestand. The first four were regulation losses, and Toronto was outscored 17-7 in them. Minnesota has won six straight on the road and has points in nine straight games. It allows 2.20 goals a game, the fewest in the league.
Minnesota should win this with room to spare, and it will do it by keeping Toronto quiet. Jesper Wallstedt (12-2-3, .925 save percentage) is in line to start for Minnesota. He has sat only on the second night of back-to-backs, and this isn't one. Our two bets count on him being in net, because Calvin Pickard has an .855 save percentage in his three starts. Toronto's goalie is unsettled between Sergei Bobrovsky, who has an .881 save percentage and has lost five straight starts, and Anthony Stolarz (5-2-0, .908). Morgan Rielly is day-to-day with a lower-body injury after missing two games, Colton Sissons is week-to-week and Kirill Marchenko is out.
Wild vs. Maple Leafs Predictions
Pick #1Wild -1.5+142
Five of the six wins in Minnesota's road streak were by two goals or more: 5-1 in Seattle, 4-2 in Vancouver, 3-1 in Utah, 5-1 in Washington and 4-2 in Philadelphia. The whole season looks the same. Ten of the Wild's 13 wins had a margin of at least two. That's half of their 20 games, and +142 is the price of a 41.3% chance.
Toronto has been losing by those margins. It dropped its last three 4-2 to Montreal, 4-0 to New Jersey and 6-3 to Colorado, and it is 4-7-1 at home. Bobrovsky has allowed three or more goals in 12 of his 13 starts. Minnesota has 64% of the puck-line bets and 57% of the money.
Stolarz would make a two-goal margin harder. Toronto has won five of his seven starts. Minnesota also plays its share of tight games. Five have gone past regulation, including the 2-1 overtime win in Montreal two nights ago, and one public projection has the Wild winning this one by a single goal. Toronto's power play is fifth in the league at 28.1%, and Minnesota's penalty kill is 11th at 79.0%.
Pick #2William Nylander Under 0.5 Assists−135
Nylander has no assists during the losing streak, and his line is a big part of Toronto's trouble. Against Colorado two nights ago he didn't put a shot on goal and finished minus-4. At the last practice his linemates were John Tavares, who is three games back after missing nine, and Ryan Tverberg, a minor-league call-up. Coach Jim Hiller said this week that Nylander "knows he's not playing his best." He played 16:51 and 15:54 in the last two games. His season average is 19:56.
His assists have needed Toronto to fill the net. He had one in six of the nine games in which Toronto scored four or more, and in two of the other 11. Minnesota has allowed four or more five times in 20 games, and Wallstedt has given up exactly one goal in nine of his 17 starts.
On the season Nylander has 11 assists but none in 12 of 20 games, and you break even on -135 at 57.4%. Last season argues the other way, when he had an assist in 35 of 65 games. We're backing the way he's playing now, against this opponent.
If this bet loses, it loses on the power play. Nylander is on Toronto's top unit, four of his 11 assists have come on the power play, and one secondary assist is enough. Rielly's return would give Toronto another puck mover. Bettors also expect goals: 91% of the money on the total is on the Over, on 60% of the bets.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
