We’re heading into Week 7 of the NFL season and by now, there is plenty of data out there on all 32 teams. We've seen patterns form, including which running backs receive red-zone touches, which tight ends are trusted with targets near the goal line and which defenses struggle to keep playmakers out of the end zone. 

As the season rolls on, the touchdown market continues to offer value, especially when we can target vulnerable defenses and high-usage players. After going two-for-three last week, we’re ready to help with three new plays that have strong matchups and promising odds.

Let’s dive into the Week 7 touchdown scorer market and highlight three of our favorite bets for Sunday.

NFL Week 7 Touchdown Scorer Predictions 

Pick #1: Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+100) Click Here to Bet

Pick #2: Darren Waller (MIA) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+285) Click Here to Bet

Pick #3: J.K. Dobbins (DEN) First Touchdown Scorer (+475) Click Here to Bet

Pick #1: Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Anytime Touchdown Scorer vs Titans (+100) Click Here to Bet

The Patriots' offense has been improving in recent weeks with the development of quarterback Drake Maye. However, the running game has struggled a bit with Rhamondre Stevenson and TreyVeon Henderson. Stevenson has dealt with fumbling issues throughout this season, but head coach Mike Vrabel has not lost faith in his running back – as Stevenson enters this game on the heels of a 13-carry performance despite his ball-security issues.

This week, Stevenson draws one of the softest matchups possible for a running back, the Tennessee Titans, who have surrendered a league-worst nine rushing touchdowns to running backs through six weeks. The Titans' defensive front has struggled in short-yardage situations, particularly inside the 10-yard line – where Stevenson thrives. Plus, let’s not forget Stevenson found the end zone twice two weeks ago against the Bills.

At +100, you’re getting even-money on a back who should see double-digit carries and most, if not all, of the team’s goal-line opportunities. If the Patriots get in close, Stevenson is the clear favorite to punch it in. Given his role and the matchup, he’s a great foundational play to start your touchdown card this week.

Pick #2: Darren Waller (MIA) Anytime Touchdown Scorer vs Browns (+285) Click Here to Bet

Darren Waller is flying a bit under the radar in the touchdown markets this week, but this matchup sets up nicely for him to find the end zone. The Browns have had trouble defending tight ends all season, allowing four touchdowns to the position and 12 receiving touchdowns in total. Moreover, Waller’s athleticism makes him a mismatch against most linebackers.

Since Waller made his Miami debut in Week 4, he has seen four red zone targets and caught four touchdowns – at least one in every game. His route participation is increasing, plus he is even working out of the slot 37% of his routes according to playerprofiler.com.

At +285, you’re getting solid value on a player with scoring upside in an offense that regularly finds the end zone. I could see Waller slipping behind the coverage for a touchdown grab in the red zone. He’s a smart, high-upside play at a generous number.

Pick #3: J.K. Dobbins (DEN) First Touchdown Scorer vs Giants (+475) Click Here to Bet

Let’s take a swing for a big payday with J.K. Dobbins to score the first touchdown in Broncos vs. Giants. Since joining Denver, Dobbins has been the lead runner in the backfield, seeing at least 11 carries in each game and finding the end zone in four of the six contests.

He faces a Giants defense that has given up five rushing touchdowns to running backs already, including multiple scores in the first half of games. New York’s defensive front seven is great at rushing the passer, but has struggled at the point of attack – making it easier for downhill runners like Dobbins to punch through in close.

If Denver receives the opening kickoff or forces a quick stop, Dobbins is the most likely option to cap off an early drive, especially inside the 10-yard line. His goal-line ability makes him a strong candidate to find paydirt early, especially with quarterback Bo Nix struggling a bit this season. At +475, there’s excellent value if you’re looking for a high-upside play to boost your card before the first quarter ends.