NFL Week 5 Player Prop Picks

Week 4 of the NFL slate is in the books, and what a week it was. The Week 5 card features several interesting games across both conferences, including the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks and the Denver Broncos vs Philadelphia Eagles, among others.

Following another 2-1 record on the Week 4 slate, we are now 8-4 on the season in this weekly column, and we have three more player prop best bets picked out for Sunday’s action. As we dive into this loaded Week 5 slate, it’s time to get into our best player prop bets for this week’s NFL games. 

NFL Week 5 Player Prop Predictions

Pick #1: Tyler Warren over 54.5 receiving yards (-110) Click Here to Bet

Pick #2: Dillon Gabriel under 180.5 passing yards (-110) Click Here to Bet

Pick #3: Drake Maye over 1.5 passing touchdown (+135) Click Here to Bet

PICK #1: Tyler Warren over 54.5 receiving yards (-110) Click Here to Bet

A week ago, we targeted Rome Odunze to find the end zone as a fade of this vulnerable Raiders defense, so we have no problem going back to the well on Sunday by backing Tyler Warren to clear his receiving yards prop. After all, the Raiders defense is extremely vulnerable and has already surrendered plenty of points this season, specifically in the passing game. 

In steps Warren, who is in the midst of a very solid rookie season as the security blanket for Daniel Jones in this Colts passing offense. This is a game that I expect to be pretty close throughout, which means Indianapolis will likely be in obvious passing situations a lot in this game. That bodes well for the first-year tight end against this struggling Las Vegas secondary. Warren has racked up 263 yards over his first four games and has been able to clear this number in three of the Colts’ first four contests, so let’s bank on that to continue in this one. 

PICK #2: Dillon Gabriel under 180.5 passing yards (-110) Click Here to Bet

Rookie quarterbacks typically don’t have a great time against Brian Flores’ defense, and this is a very tough spot for Browns rookie quarterback Dillon Gabriel on Sunday. Not only will Gabriel make his first NFL start on the road, he’ll be doing so in London against a Vikings team that has had the benefit of staying overseas for an entire week following its game against the Steelers last Sunday. As a result, this is a Minnesota defense that should be well-rested and ready to make things very difficult for the Cleveland offensive line and young quarterback.

Even if the situational spot was better for Gabriel, we still wouldn’t like his chances to succeed all that much given the matchup at hand. Due to Gabriel’s inexperience and him being thrust into action on short notice, we can expect the Browns to keep the ball on the ground for large stretches of this one, which should shorten the game considerably. It’s hard to imagine the Oregon product seeing much success through the air on Sunday. 

PICK #3: Drake Maye over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+135) Click Here to Bet

For our final best bet, we'll target Drake Maye to throw at least two touchdowns against a shaky Bills defense in this AFC East matchup. While the Bills have dominated the division in the Josh Allen era, this has actually been a competitive matchup in recent seasons, as New England typically keeps things close as an underdog in these games. Just last year, Maye tossed a pair of touchdowns in a road game against the Bills, in a spot where his team was undermanned and supposed to be overmatched in Buffalo. 

Now, Maye has made clear strides in his second season in the NFL, and he’s playing very well at the moment. The young quarterback has thrown seven touchdowns through four games, while registering at least two touchdown passes in three consecutive contests. Given how poor the Bills defense has looked through four weeks, Maye should be able to pick apart this secondary and utilize the play action game to his advantage. In a game that could end up being somewhat of a shootout, I’ll put my faith in New England’s best player to stay hot at this plus-money price.