NFL Week 4 Touchdown Scorer Best Bets

Week 3 is in the books, and Week 4 has kicked off after a great Thursday Night Football game. We’re finally starting to get a clearer picture of how teams and players are shaping up. Roles are becoming more defined, depth charts are settling and both rising stars and struggling veterans are impacting betting markets. With another full Sunday slate coming up, it’s a great time to take a look at the touchdown scorer market.

NFL Week 4 Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• Pick #1 - Ashton Jeanty (-140) Anytime Touchdown Scorer Click Here to Bet
• Pick #2 - Chris Olave (+235) Anytime Touchdown Scorer Click Here to Bet
• Pick #3 - Omarion Hamton (+425) First TD Scorer Click Here to Bet

Pick #1 – Ashton Jeanty (-140) Anytime Touchdown Scorer

This one isn’t flashy, but sometimes the best plays are the ones that make sense. Jeanty’s not lighting up the stat sheet; he’s sitting at just 144 rushing yards on 3.1 yards per carry through three games, but he’s already found the end zone once, and the volume is there. Despite some rough sledding behind a shaky offensive line, Jeanty continues to get consistent touches, including valuable red-zone work. That usage gives him a solid floor, and that’s exactly what we want heading into Week 4.

He’ll be going up against a Bears defense that’s struggled to stop the run. Chicago has already given up three rushing touchdowns to running backs and hasn’t done much to plug the holes between the tackles. If the Raiders get near the goal line, Jeanty is the most likely option to punch it in. 

At -140, the odds aren’t eye-popping, but in a soft matchup with a defined role, this is a smart, steady play to anchor your card.

Pick #2 – Chris Olave (+235) Anytime Touchdown Scorer

If you're looking for someone who's due to score, Olave’s name should be right near the top. He’s been heavily involved through three weeks (23 catches on 37 targets) but somehow hasn’t found the end zone yet. That’s not going to last much longer. He leads the Saints in receptions and continues to be a focal point in the offense. It’s not a question of if he scores, it’s when, and Week 4 sets up nicely.

The Saints face the Bills, and they’ll likely be trailing, as the line sits at +15.5, so we’re looking at a pass-heavy game script. When New Orleans needs a play, Rattler is looking Olave’s way. He’s getting open deep, and he’s seeing red-zone targets, as he is ninth in the league in that category, so it feels like he’s one big play away from cashing in.

At +235, you’re getting strong value on a WR1 with a full snap share in a game where the Saints will be forced to throw. Don’t be surprised if this is the week he finally breaks through.

Pick #3 – Omarion Hampton (+425) First TD Scorer

This one’s all about upside. Hampton stepped into a much bigger role last week after Najee Harris went down with an Achilles injury, and he didn’t waste the opportunity. He racked up 19 carries for 70 yards and a touchdown, while recording 59 receiving yards. Now that he’s locked in as the lead back, he’s in a prime spot to deliver again.

He’ll face a Giants team that’s been sluggish out of the gate nearly every week. Through three games, they’ve already allowed two opening-drive touchdowns, and physical backs like Hampton have given them trouble early. With him now handling most of the early-down and goal-line work, he’s got a clear path to being the first to score.

At +425 odds, this is a high-upside play with a real shot to hit. The role is there, the matchup is favorable, and he’s no longer sharing touches with Harris.