NFL Week 16 Touchdown Scorer Best Bets

Week 16 of the NFL season has arrived and by now, teams have shown us exactly who they are. Playoff hopefuls are leaning into their most trusted weapons, struggling teams are simplifying game plans and red-zone tendencies are no longer a mystery. With just a few games left, usage trends matter more than name value, and betting angles are sharper when you know to whom coaches turn when points are on the line.

After digging into matchups, recent workloads and how these offenses operate near the goal line, we’ve narrowed things down to three touchdown scorer bets that offer a strong mix of opportunity and value. Here are our favorite picks for NFL Week 16.

NFL Week 16 Touchdown Scorer Predictions 

• PICK #1: Quinshon Judkins (+105) vs Buffalo Bills Click Here to Bet
• PICK #2: Jordan Mason (+220) vs New York Giants Click Here to Bet
• PICK #3: Colston Loveland (+1100) vs Green Bay Packers Click Here to Bet



Pick #1: Quinshon Judkins (CLE) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+105) Click Here to Bet

The Browns may not have much momentum heading into Week 16, but one thing remains consistent. That is, when Cleveland gets close to the end zone, RB Quinshon Judkins is the centerpiece. He’s not just the primary running back in scoring situations, as he even lines up at wildcat quarterback near the goal line. That tells you everything you need to know about where the trust lies.

Cleveland has shown little confidence in rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders in tight red-zone moments, opting instead to put the ball directly in Judkins’ hands. The matchup only strengthens the case. Buffalo has been repeatedly burned on the ground, allowing the most touchdowns to running backs this season (18). Just last week, Patriots rookie Trevyeon Henderson ran all over them for 148 yards and two scores.

With volume, scheme and matchup all pointing in the same direction, Judkins finding the end zone at better-than-even money feels like one of the safer touchdown plays on the board.

Pick #2: Jordan Mason (MIN) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220) Click Here to Bet

Jordan Mason’s role has quietly expanded over the last two weeks and it’s no coincidence that it’s come with Aaron Jones dealing with injuries. Mason has logged double-digit carries in back-to-back games and already showcased his nose for the end zone scoring in Week 14 against the Commanders.

This week’s matchup against the Giants sets up perfectly for a power runner like Mason. New York has allowed the fourth-most rushing touchdowns to running backs (13) and the second-most rushing yards overall. The Giants have also struggled to stop downhill run games all season, especially late in drives and games.

If Minnesota leans on the run – there’s little reason not to – with QB JJ McCarthy at the helm, Mason should see plenty of scoring opportunities. At +220, you’re getting strong value on a back with a clear path to goal-line work in a dream matchup.

Pick #3: Colston Loveland (CHI) First Touchdown Scorer (+1100) Click Here to Bet

If you’re hunting for a long-shot first touchdown bet with legitimate logic behind it, Bears TE Colston Loveland fits the bill. With WRs Luther Burden and Rome Odunze sidelined, the Bears are going to need Loveland involved early and often. He’s already earned consistent usage, seeing at least five targets in four straight games while scoring twice during that stretch.

Chicago’s head coach, Ben Johnson, has shown a tendency to elect to receive the ball first and to script opening drives aggressively, often looking to get playmakers involved right away. With the Bears short on proven receiving options, Loveland stands out as a prime candidate to be featured early.

At +1100, this is a calculated swing, not a blind dart throw. Given the expected volume shift and how Chicago likes to open games, Loveland scoring the first touchdown on Saturday night is well worth the shot.