NFL Week 1 Player Prop Picks
After a long and eventful offseason, the 2025 NFL season is finally here. The Week 1 card has a plethora of highly anticipated matchups across the board, including a battle between the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills. Other pivotal games include the Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers and the Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Rams. However, we’ve found player props in games that won’t be part of these contests.
As we dive into this loaded Week 1 slate, it’s time to get into our expert’s best player prop bets for this week’s NFL action.
NFL Week 1 Player Props Predictions
Pick #1: Jayden Daniels under 43.5 rushing yards (-115) Click Here to Bet
Pick #2: Tyler Warren over 3.5 receptions (-140) Click Here to Bet
Pick #3: Tyler Allgeier over 5.5 rush attempts (-150) Click Here to Bet
Pick #1: Jayden Daniels under 43.5 rushing yards (-115)
Jayden Daniels had an incredible rookie season in 2024 for Washington, putting up one of the best debut campaigns in NFL history. However, the former LSU product should take a slight step back this fall, and it starts with a matchup against a very feisty Giants defense in Week 1.
New York should have one of the best defensive fronts in the league this season, as the Giants added Abdul Carter to the likes of Dexter Lawrence and Brian Burns. Daniels should be contained more within the pocket and look to get the ball out quickly to avoid this Giants pass rush, so we’ll back the Under on his rushing yards with confidence on Sunday.
Pick #2: Tyler Warren over 3.5 receptions (-140)
The Indianapolis Colts don’t exactly have the most desirable quarterback situation in the league to start this season, as Daniel Jones will start under center for his new team in Week 1 against the Dolphins. However, while Jones might not be a starting-caliber quarterback, we can use his insertion into the lineup to our advantage and target rookie tight end Tyler Warren to exceed his receptions prop in this one.
After all, Warren hauled in a whopping 104 receptions in 16 games in his final collegiate season, and he should quickly establish himself as a short-game security blanket for Jones in this otherwise uninspiring passing offense. Expect the former Giants QB to target the 14th overall pick early and often, as he should easily surpass 4+ receptions in his NFL debut.
Pick #3: Tyler Allgeier over 5.5 rush attempts (-150)
We’re going to lay a bit of juice on our final prop best bet for Week 1, but it’s not without good reason. Tyler Allgeier is a running back who has the unfortunate task of being Bijan Robinson’s backup in Atlanta, but the coaching staff for the Falcons is one that consistently values Allgeier’s production in the backfield.
Robinson is undeniably one of the best players at his position, but Allgeier is a solid change-of-pace running back who can take the load off of the young star in this matchup. Allgeier had 6 or more carries in 13 of 17 games in 2024, and he cleared this number in both games against the Buccaneers as well, posting 6 and 12 attempts against their NFC South rival. Look for that success to continue on Sunday, as Allgeier will be given multiple chances to run on the Bucs defense.
