NFL Divisional Round Touchdown Scorer Best Bets

The Divisional Round is here and the stakes couldn’t be higher. After a strong showing last weekend with us hitting two of our three touchdown scorer picks during the Wildcard Round, we head into the next phase of the playoffs with confidence. As the field narrows, offensive roles become even more concentrated and coaches lean heavily on their most reliable scoring options when games are on the line.

With fewer matchups on the board, identifying where touchdowns are most likely to come from is critical. Usage trends, red-zone trust and matchup advantages matter more than ever. After breaking down the Divisional Round slate, we’ve landed on three touchdown scorer bets that stand out as strong value plays.

Here are our favorite touchdown scorer picks for the Divisional Round.

NFL Divisional Round Touchdown Scorer Predictions 

PICK #1: Davante Adams anytime touchdown scorer in Bills vs Broncos (-130)

PICK #2: DJ Moore anytime touchdown scorer in Rams vs Bears (+300)

PICK #3: RJ Harvey first touchdown scorer in Bills vs Broncos (+500)

Pick #1: Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-130)

Davante Adams has been the most consistent touchdown threat in football this season, leading the league in receiving scores and continuing to dominate whenever his team needs a play in the red zone. In the postseason, elite receivers with proven red-zone roles become even more valuable, and Adams checks every box.

The matchup further strengthens the case. Chicago allowed the third-most passing touchdowns to wide receivers during the regular season, and those issues carried over into the playoffs. In the Wildcard Round alone, the Bears surrendered four more receiving touchdowns to wideouts against Green Bay, exposing continued coverage breakdowns.

With Adams’ combination of route-running, physicality and red-zone chemistry with Matthew Stafford, it’s difficult to envision this game finishing without him finding the end zone. At -130, this remains one of the safest touchdown plays on the Divisional slate.

Pick #2: DJ Moore Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+300)

After a disappointing year for DJ Moore, he has come alive in some of the biggest moments for the Bears down the stretch this season. He has caught four touchdowns in his past five games and is coming off scoring last week in the Wildcard Round on seven targets.

This matchup sets up perfectly for a pass-heavy approach, even in frigid weather. The Rams have been stout against the run, allowing just six rushing touchdowns all season, making it difficult to score on the ground. If Chicago wants to move the ball and put points on the board, attacking through the air is the clear path against a Rams secondary that has struggled down the stretch this season.

Moore’s expanded role, increased red-zone looks and favorable matchup against a vulnerable Rams secondary make him an excellent value at +300 as a longshot play. 

Pick #3: RJ Harvey First Touchdown Scorer (+500)

RJ Harvey has seen his role grow significantly following the injury to JK Dobbins, and he’s now firmly established as the primary goal-line option in the offense. When his team gets close, Harvey has become the back they trust to finish drives. He has scored five touchdowns since Week 13 of the regular season. 

That role lines up perfectly against Buffalo. The Bills allowed the most rushing touchdowns to running backs during the regular season and have consistently struggled to hold up at the point of attack. They allowed the Jags to rush for 6.7 yards per carry last week, but held them out of the end zone on the ground.

If this game starts with a run-heavy script, which makes sense given Buffalo’s defensive weaknesses, Harvey has a realistic path to opening the scoring. At +500, this is a high-upside first touchdown bet supported by role, matchup and early-game usage. We also like him for an anytime touchdown at -125.