MLB Wednesday Picks - September 18

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by The OddsCrowd Analysts

With just a couple of weeks left in Major League Baseball’s regular season, it’s high time for the contenders and the wanna-be contenders to show everybody what they’re made of. We’ve got a full 15-game slate tonight with no afternoon baseball on tap. So, with the evening jam-packed with baseball, let’s get right into Wednesday’s MLB picks for September 18.

MLB Wednesday predictions

Jorge Soler Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)

Los Angeles Dodgers ML (-205) vs Miami Marlins

Tarik Skubal Under 8.5 Strikeouts (-120)

Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds - Jorge Soler Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)

We’ll begin our MLB picks for Wednesday with Cuban slugger Jorge Soler of the Atlanta Braves. Entering Tuesday, Soler has been hitting the back with reckless abandon; as is his style. In Soler’s last seven games entering Tuesday, Soler has a .450/.522.850 triple slash with a home run and a whopping five doubles. Soler is hitting the ball and hitting the ball hard, getting balls into the gap for easy doubles, which goes great with the prop for tonight.

Playing the bandbox that is Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, which has one of the biggest park factors not only for home runs but doubles as well, this game suits nicely for Soler’s strengths. Of every ballpark in MLB, Soler’s expected home runs by park ranks Great American Ball Park as far and away the best park for Soler for 2024, which would add another 11 home runs to his tally of 18 for this season. Let’s take Soler Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130) tonight and watch the fireworks.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins - Los Angeles Dodgers ML (-205)

The next contest we’ll target for Wednesday’s MLB picks is a matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Miami Marlins from LoanDepot Park in Miami. The Dodgers will send out Landon Knack, who is coming off the worst start of his young MLB career, having given up five earned runs in just two innings of work against the Atlanta Braves. Knack will be opposed by young lefty Ryan Weathers for the Marlins, who is making his first start since June after he was sidelined by an index finger strain.

The Marlins are staring down the barrel of their first 100-loss season since 2019 after making the playoffs last season, and tossing out Weathers to the wolves that are the Dodgers in the middle of a pennant race seems like chum to a shark. The Dodgers need every win they can get as they’re also trying to stave off the Padres in the NL West, who have been playing great baseball lately. With Weathers back for his first start in over three months despite being at home, we’ll take the Dodgers ML (-205) for this evening.

Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals - Tarik Skubal Under 8.5 Strikeouts (-120)

Our final MLB best bet for Wednesday involves Tigers lefty Tarik Skubal, the presumptive favorite for the American League Cy Young Award. Skubal has been electric this season, but it’s a bit of a weird prop tonight to make with such a great pitcher. Skubal has hit the under on his strikeout prop in his last five starts, and while he’s been excellent and is third in the American League in strikeouts, the strikeout line might be a little too high for Skubal, which creates a great opportunity.

There’s no hotter team than the Tigers, who have vaulted themselves into playoff contention in the AL with the season winding down. The Tigers need every win they can to make up ground on the Minnesota Twins, who the Tigers are within shouting distance of in the race for the final wild card slot. Playing the prop history and facing a good team like the Royals means Skubal Under 8.5 Strikeouts (-120) is an excellent move for tonight.

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