Fact checked at 8:06 AM ET, Nov 10, 2026Odds as of 8:00 AM ET, Nov 10, 2026
La Salle visits Villanova at 7:00 PM ET at Finneran Pavilion, and both Big 5 teams come in at 1-1. Villanova lost its opener 74-72 to Notre Dame in Rome, turning it over 20 times, then went home and beat Holy Cross 95-66. La Salle lost 94-55 at Houston before beating LIU 88-80 at home. The market is pricing a Villanova rout in the 90s. The public ratings see a smaller, slower game: Villanova wins in the 80s by something under 20, and the total lands in the mid-150s. We're siding with the ratings. Villanova is again without forward Matt Hodge (ACL). Forward Kwame Evans Jr. missed the Holy Cross game with left hip soreness, Kevin Willard had no comment on a timetable afterward, and Villanova hasn't announced his status for tonight. Men's college basketball has no availability report, so both starting fives are projected.
La Salle vs. Villanova Predictions
Pick #1Under 159.5−110
Every public projection sits under this total. T-Rank projects 154 total points, DRatings projects 154.2, and a data-driven preview that likes Villanova by 26 still lands on 156 total points. The total opened at 156.5 and has climbed to 159.5, so the market has drifted away from the ratings, and -110 implies only a 52.4% chance.
La Salle can't shoot right now. The Explorers are at 35% from the field through two games and went 15 of 60 at Houston, and Villanova has held its two opponents to 34.7%. Last season's meeting ended 70-55.
La Salle's own defense can wreck this. Opponents have shot 49.6% against the Explorers, they've allowed 87 points a game, and Villanova just scored 95 on Holy Cross. Two of the four games these teams have played went past 159.5 (161 against Holy Cross, 168 against LIU). If Villanova reaches the mid-90s again, La Salle has to stay in the low 60s for the Under to hold.
Pick #2La Salle +23.5−115
The line is bigger than the ratings. T-Rank and ESPN's BPI both have Villanova by 19.4, and DRatings has it by 17.8. That's four to six points of cushion at a price that implies 53.5%.
Villanova is 0-2 against the spread. It lost outright to Notre Dame as a 7-point favorite and beat Holy Cross by 29 while laying 34.5. Last season's meeting was a 15-point game. With Hodge out and Evans unannounced, the frontcourt is thin, and a margin this large needs the bench to protect a big lead late. La Salle forced 17 turnovers against LIU, and Villanova gave it away 20 times in Rome. The slower game the ratings see helps here too, since fewer possessions leave less room for the margin to grow.
Houston is the warning. La Salle lost there by 39. The Explorers have given up 41.5 rebounds a game, and Villanova won the glass 50-37 against Holy Cross with 7-foot-3 Luigi Suigo in the middle. If that size gap turns into second chances all night, the cushion goes fast.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
