Kraken vs. Red Wings Prediction, NHL Odds & Best Bets (10/9)

Fact checked at 8:50 AM ET, Oct 9, 2026

Odds as of Oct 9, 7:48 AM ET

Seattle is 2-2, and the explanation for both wins is Calgary. The Kraken beat the Flames 6-1 twice, and Calgary has allowed 23 goals in four games, the most per game in the league. Against Edmonton and Vegas, Seattle scored three goals on 47 shots, lost 3-1 and 6-2, and was down 5-0 to the Golden Knights after two periods on Tuesday before scoring twice in the third. The Kraken have been outshot in three of their four games. Joey Daccord gave up five goals on 21 shots against Vegas and was pulled after two periods, and defenseman Ryan Lindgren went on injured reserve Thursday for four to six weeks with an upper-body injury.

Detroit is 1-2 and has played better than that. The Red Wings outshot the Rangers, Jets and Senators by a combined 94-73. The two losses, 2-0 and 3-2, came without Dylan Larkin, who missed the start of the season with an upper-body injury from offseason training. He came back Tuesday and Detroit beat Ottawa 5-3: Larkin played just over 20 minutes, scored, set up another goal and ran the first power-play unit. Without him the Red Wings had scored two goals in two games. John Gibson is confirmed for his fourth straight start. Daniil Tarasov gets Saturday in Montreal, the back end of Detroit's back-to-back. Daccord is Seattle's projected starter and has not been confirmed.

Detroit is -143 on the moneyline, Seattle +120. The Red Wings -1.5 on the puck line pay +171. The total is 6 at most books, Over -115 and Under -107, though 5.5 and 6.5 are both posted somewhere. Seattle's team total is 2.5, Over -145 and Under +108. This is the first stop on a five-game road trip for the Kraken, who have never won a regulation game in Detroit: two overtime wins and three losses in five visits. Detroit has won the last five meetings between the teams.

Puck drop is Friday at 7:00 PM ET in Detroit. The game is on Prime Video, DSN, KING 5 and KONG.

Kraken vs. Red Wings Predictions

• Pick #1: Red Wings Moneyline (-143)
• Pick #2: Kraken Under 2.5 Team Total (+108)
• Pick #3: Bobby McMann Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+115)

PICK #1: Red Wings Moneyline (-143)

Detroit has controlled play in all three of its games, and tonight it has its top center and its starting goalie against a team whose scoring has come almost entirely against one bad opponent.

The shot counts tell it: 22-21 over the Rangers, 36-27 over the Jets, 36-25 over the Senators. The two losses were about finishing. Detroit put 22 shots on Dylan Garand and got nothing, then gave up three power-play goals to Winnipeg in a 3-2 game. Once Larkin was back, the Red Wings scored five times on 36 shots. Larkin, Alex DeBrincat (twice) and Viktor Arvidsson all scored, and Lucas Raymond set up three. Gibson has stopped 65 of 72 shots in three starts, and the coaching staff chose to give him this game and hand Saturday to Tarasov.

Seattle's resume is thinner than 2-2 looks. Twelve of its 15 goals came against Calgary. The Kraken had one goal on 20 shots at Edmonton and two on 27 against Vegas, and both Vegas goals came in the third period with the game already 5-0. Seattle's own game preview called its forecheck and zone entries disconnected in that loss. Lindgren's injury leaves Josh Mahura and Cale Fleury as the projected third pair, and this is night one of a five-game trip through the Eastern time zone. Seattle has visited Detroit five times and never won in regulation.

At -143 the price implies 58.8%. That is a fair number for a home team that has been better than its record, not a bargain. What could go wrong is plain enough: Detroit is still 1-2 with seven goals in three games, its penalty kill has allowed five goals on 13 chances, Gibson's .903 save percentage is ordinary, and J.T. Compher, Marco Kasper, Mason Appleton and Simon Edvinsson are all out. Seattle's power play is 3 for 12 and will get its chances against that kill. If Larkin turns up as a surprise scratch, pass. Anyone who wants a bigger payout on the same side can look at Detroit -1.5 at +171, which needs a two-goal win. Detroit's only win this season was by two, and the goal that made it two came in the final minute.

PICK #2: Kraken Under 2.5 Team Total (+108)

Seattle has scored two or fewer in both of its games against teams not named Calgary, and this pays plus money.

The two Calgary games inflate everything about Seattle's offense. Take them out and the Kraken have three goals in two games and a top line that went quiet against Vegas, with Matty Beniers putting no shots on net and Mackie Samoskevich held without a point. Detroit has allowed two, three and three goals, 2.67 a game, on 24.3 shots a game. Gibson is confirmed. A Detroit team that outshoots Seattle and holds the Kraken to the 20 to 27 shots they have managed against real opponents makes three Seattle goals the hard outcome.

Under 2.5 at +108 implies 48.1%. It only has to be a coin flip to be worth a bet, and Seattle's two non-Calgary games both landed under it.

Don't mistake this for a sure thing. Seattle averages 3.75 goals a game, sixth in the league with the Calgary games included. Jordan Eberle has a point in all four games, Jared McCann leads the team with five points and put seven shots on net Tuesday, and Detroit's penalty kill has been the worst part of its season at 61.5%. Three Seattle goals is a normal NHL night: one power-play goal and two at even strength beats this bet. Detroit also allowed more than three goals a game last season, so the stingy start is three games old.

PICK #3: Bobby McMann Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+115)

McMann has reached three shots in every game this season, and he does it from the second line without top-line minutes.

Oldest first, his shots on goal are 3 at Calgary, 3 at Edmonton, 6 at home against Calgary and 3 against Vegas. That is 15 in four games. He scored in the Edmonton and home Calgary games, and the shots kept coming in the two games where he didn't. He has played between 15 and 18 minutes a night on the second line with Chandler Stephenson and Jordan Eberle, plus the second power-play unit, and Seattle's projected lineup keeps him there. After joining Seattle last season he put 58 shots on net in 18 games, 3.2 a game, so this is his role, not a hot week.

Over 2.5 at +115 implies 46.5%, and he has cleared the number in all four games. The problem is the margin: three of the four games stopped at exactly three, so one blocked attempt turns a win into a loss, and Detroit's 24.3 shots allowed a game is a tough draw for any volume shooter. The Under is priced at -155 for a reason.

Here is how the three picks fit. Seattle's shots have come from its forwards, McMann's line in particular, while the goals have not. Gibson handling that volume is how Detroit keeps Seattle to two goals or fewer and wins the game.

21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.