Fact checked at 8:01 AM ET, Nov 10, 2026Odds as of 7:24 AM ET, Nov 10, 2026
Kent State (3-6, 2-3 MAC) visits Bowling Green (2-7, 2-3 MAC) at 7:00 PM ET at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Everything here comes down to one problem: Kent State can't score on the road. The Golden Flashes have 22 points across five road games this season, and they lost all five by 21 or more. Bowling Green doesn't run up big numbers either. The likeliest result is a Falcons win by more than a touchdown in a game that finishes somewhere in the 30s. Bowling Green is a 5.5-point favorite, and the total sits at 44.5.
Kent State vs. Bowling Green Predictions
Pick #1Under 44.5−113
Kent State's road scores this season: 0 at South Carolina, 3 at Ohio State, 7 at Western Michigan, 2 at South Florida and 10 at Sacramento State. Kent State has scored more than 13 against an FBS team only twice, 26 against Ball State and 35 against Akron, and both of those were home games. Against FBS opponents it averages 11.6 points.
Bowling Green won't need many. The Falcons average 17.8 points a game and scored 24, 38, 31, 24 and 10 in their five conference games. Something like 24-13 or 27-10 fits this matchup, and either one stays well under 44.5. At -113, the implied probability is 53.1%.
The season totals cut the other way. Only 7 of the 16 FBS games these teams have played finished under 44.5, though those games include Kent State's 57-0 and 59-3 losses to South Carolina and Ohio State. For this to go over, Kent State has to find points it hasn't found away from home all season. Bowling Green played its last game without lead back Austyn Dendy, and his status for tonight hasn't been announced. On the total, 60% of the money is on the Under against 47% of the bets.
Pick #2Bowling Green -5.5−110
These teams share four opponents, and Bowling Green did far better against three of them. It beat Sacramento State 38-10, and Kent State lost 31-10 there. It lost 23-10 at Western Michigan, where Kent State lost 38-7. It lost 14-6 to South Florida, while Kent State lost 29-2 at South Florida. Ball State is the exception: it beat Bowling Green 32-31 and lost 26-13 at Kent State.
Kent State is 0-5 on the road, and not one of those losses was within three touchdowns. If the Golden Flashes can't move the ball, a six-point Bowling Green win isn't asking much. The -110 price implies 52.4%.
Bowling Green's own record is the risk. Its only FBS win by more than a touchdown was the Sacramento State game, and a 2-7 team doesn't get there by accident. If Kent State quarterback Dru DeShields has one of his better passing nights, like the 294 yards he threw for against Akron, this stays close. We'll trust the road numbers. Bowling Green in control of a low-scoring game is the same night that keeps the total down.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
