First Look at NFL Saturday! Chiefs @ Raiders & Titans @ Jags - Previews, Picks & Props

Saturday will feature an early game as the Chiefs will visit the Raiders in Vegas at 4:30 p.m., followed by the Titans at Jaguars in prime time. 

The Chiefs are just 5-11 against the spread this year and the Raiders are 8-8 ATS. The Raiders were eliminated from the playoffs with last week’s loss but this is an intense rivalry and the Chiefs need to win to stay in contention for the AFC’s No. 1 seed. The Chiefs are coming in hot, winners of nine of their last 10 games, while the Raiders have lost three of their last four and have nothing to play for, other than pride. The Chiefs are 6-2 on the road this season and the Raiders are 4-3 at home. 

The Chiefs are 9-1 against the Raiders in their last 10 games but to go along with their weak ATS record this season, they’re 0-6 ATS in their last six games against the AFC West. Meanwhile, the Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against the AFC West. The Chiefs will be looking for big numbers from Patrick Mahomes and he torched the Raiders for 292 and four touchdowns in Week 5. The Chiefs also average an NFL-best 33 points per game on the road and should throw and run all over them on Saturday. Isaiah Pacheco has rushed 162 times for 766 yards and four touchdowns on the season RB Jerrick McKinnon has 54 catches for 512 yards and eight TDs this year. Tight end Travis Kelce remains Mahomes’ favorite target with 104 catches and 12 TDs this season, while JuJu Smith-Schuster has 898 yards and three TDs, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling has amassed 660 yards and two touchdowns. 

The Raiders have benched Derek Carr and will roll with unknown Jarrett Stidham, who has thrown a total of 47 passes this season for 437 yards and three touchdowns. He was 23-of-34 for 365 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions in Sunday’s tough 37-34 overtime loss to the Niners and we’re guessing the Raiders will air it out again against the Chiefs. Josh Jacobs had 17 carries for 69 yards and a TD last week, while Davante Adams caught seven balls for 153 yards and two touchdowns. Darren Waller had three catches for 72 yards and a TD last week and these guys should handle most of the offense for the Raiders this weekend.

Top Oddscrowd performer burdspencer likes the Over of 53 (-110) and Mgriff026 likes the Raiders and the points. The Oddscrowd algorithm gives a 2.3% + EV Edge to the over of 52.5 points at DraftKings and while we don’t love giving up all those points with the Chiefs, that’s the way we’re going. Despite the Chiefs' struggles against the spread they have something to play, are the superior team and the Raiders are running a young QB out there with nothing to play for. 

Pick: Chiefs -9.5

Prop 1: Travis Kelce TD -145 at FanDuel

Prop 2: Isaiah Pacheco TD -110 at FanDuel

Prop 3: Jerrick McKinnon TD +125 at FanDuel

Both of these teams are still fighting to get into the postseason and this is basically the AFC South title game, which is why it was moved to prime time.

The Titans rested their key players last week against the Cowboys but should be out here at full strength on Saturday. 

Tennessee comes in the losers of six straight games and quarterback Josh Dobbs will make his second start of the season with Ryan Tannehill out with an ankle injury. Derrick Henry (hip) should be rested and back out there on Saturday after getting last week off and is going to get a ton of carries after torching the Jags for 121 yards on 7.1 yard per carry in a Week 14 loss to the Jags. Henry has 319 carries for 1,429 yards and 13 touchdowns and the Titans are going to need him to carry the load in this one. Robert Woods has 49 catches for 487 yards and two TDs this season, while Treylon Burks and Chigoziem Okonkwo each have 29 catches and three total TDs. The Titans are reeling and have gone 0-5-1 against the spread over their last six games and haven’t covered since mid-November. 

Jacksonville destroyed the Texans last week 31-3 and quarterback Trevor Lawrence has really taken a step forward this season, putting his team in position to win the division and leading the Jags to four straight wins. If they win this one they’ll be hosting a playoff game for the first time since 2017. Jacksonville has covered the spread in five of its last six games and these two teams appear to be heading in opposite directions in every way possible. Lawrence has completed 66.5 percent of his passes for 3,901 yards, 24 TDs and just eight picks and running back Travis Etienne is averaging 98 rushing yards per game over his last three, while the Titans’ run defense has been solid. Slowing down Etienne is easier said than done and he’s carried the ball 213 times for 1,108 yards and five TDs this season. Wide Receivers Christian Kirk and Zay Jones each have 78 catches and Kirk is already over 1,000 yards on the season and Jones is just north of 800 yards, combining for 12 touchdowns. Tight end Evan Engram has found paydirt four times this season, while Marvin Jones Jr. and Jamal Agnew each have three TDs on the season. 

Top Oddscrowd performer burdspencer likes the Under of 40 points at FanDuel and we like the streaking Jaguars to take care of business at home and win the division. We also like the over given how good the Jacksonville offense has been lately and with Derrick Henry and the other Tennessee regulars likely making a return this weekend.

Pick: Jaguars -6

Prop 1: Over 39.5 -115 at FanDuel

Prop 2: Derrick Henry TD -115 at FanDuel

Prop 3: Evan Engram TD +250 at FanDuel