Dr A's 5 Best NBA Bets and Props for Monday Slate 21 November
Here are some lines and props I like heading into an eight-game Monday night in the Association.
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Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Recommended Bet
The Cavs are 6-1 at home and the main core of the team is healthy, as Darius Garland, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen should all be good to go tonight. The Hawks generally struggle against opposing bigs so I also like Mobley and Allen to have a good night against Clint Capela and John Collins. Caris LeVert (ankle) is out for the Cavs tonight, along with Dean Wade (knee), meaning Cedi Osman should get a start. Osman is good for a surprisingly decent game about every 10 days but I’m not confident enough in his skills to put money on him. The Hawks should be at full strength (minus Bogdan Bogdanovic) and are 5-4 on the road. But the Cavaliers get it done at home and the two-point margin isn’t too much to ask for.
Pick: Cavs -2.5
Recommended Prop
Mobley has a nice matchup against the Atlanta bigs tonight and hits his points target 69 percent of the time. He’s scored at least 15 points in three straight games and in six of his last seven. They’ve yet to face the Hawks this season but Atlanta is 20th in the league in points allowed. The absence of Caris LeVert won’t impact Mobley a ton, but it should mean he gets a couple extra touches. Four of the five Raptors starters scored at least 15 for the Raptors on Saturday, including old man Thaddeus Young (18), while Scottie Barnes led the way with 28 and OG Anunoby scored 27. Mobley should have a good game tonight.
Pick: Evan Mobley over 14.5 points
Find the Best Odds on this matchup here
Portland Trail Blazers @ Milwaukee Bucks
Recommended Bet
The Blazers will be without Damian Lillard (calf) but Anfernee Simons should shine in his absence while Josh Hart, Jerami Grant, Jusuf Nurkic and Shaedon Sharpe should all have solid stat lines tonight. This is a trap game for the Bucks due to the absence of Lillard and Milwaukee suffered it’s first home loss of the season a week ago against the Hawks, who have given the Bucks two of their four losses this season. The pesky Blazers are now a surprising 6-2 on the road this season only one of the two losses was by more than five points – a 102-82 losing affair at Phoenix a few weeks ago. The Blazers went 2-2 without Lillard the last time he was out earlier this season but are usually involved in close games. I look for them to hang in there tonight in Milwaukee.
Pick: Blazers +9.5
Find the Best Odds on this matchup here
Golden State Warriors @ New Orleans Pelicans
Recommended Prop
Herbert Jones’ assists hit 83 percent of the time and Golden State is ranked 20th in the league in assists allowed. Zion Williamson will be back in action tonight, giving Jones another target on the floor, and Jones has had at least two dimes in all but one of his November games and has hit that number in 10 of his 12 games this season. It would be surprising if he doesn’t have a couple more tonight.
Pick: Herbert Jones Over 1.5 Assists
Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics
Recommended Prop
Ayo Dosunmu’s hit rate in rebounds is a stellar 87 percent and the fact he’s had just two or fewer in two of his last three games just means he’s due to hit again tonight against Boston, who ranks 22nd in rebounds allowed. Dosunmu’s averaging 29.6 minutes in November so he should have plenty of opportunities for boards tonight. Pelican Herb Jones ripped down seven boards against Boston on Saturday and I like Dosunmu’s chances of getting three of them tonight.
Pick: Ayo Dosunmu over 2.5 rebounds
Find the Best Odds on this matchup here
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