Fact checked at 7:20 AM ET, Nov 12, 2026Odds as of 6:21 AM ET, Nov 12, 2026
Montreal (11-3-4) visits Boston (13-4-1) at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden, and the Bruins lead the Atlantic by one point. Boston has won seven straight at home. Montreal has points in 11 straight games and has won its last five on the road. Boston is a slight favorite and the total is 6.5.
The goalies should decide this one. Montreal has confirmed Jacob Fowler, who is 8-1-2 with a .925 save percentage. Jeremy Swayman (9-3-1, .920) is the expected Boston starter, and backup Michael DiPietro is at .925, so the Boston net looks about the same either way. Boston allows 2.28 goals a game, second-fewest in the league. Both picks need a tight game without many goals.
Canadiens vs. Bruins Predictions
Pick #1Zachary Bolduc Under 0.5 Points−150
Bolduc has finished without a point in 11 of Montreal's 18 games, and in eight of his last 10. Last season, also with Montreal, he was held off the scoresheet in 56 of 78 games, including three of four against Boston.
He has six goals and two assists, so his points come from his own shot. To beat this bet he most likely has to beat a Boston goalie himself, and the Bruins have allowed two goals or fewer in three straight games. In Montreal's last game he skated on the second line with Phillip Danault, who has six points, and Alexandre Texier, who has five.
The -150 price implies a 60.0% chance. Bolduc has been held without a point in 61.1% of his games this season and 71.8% last season. Both numbers clear the price, and we're fine laying it against this defense.
His role gives us pause, because it is growing. He was on the top power-play unit in the last game, and over the last six games he has averaged about three and a half minutes of power-play time, more than double what he got before that. It has produced one point in those six games, a power-play goal in Toronto. Montreal's power play converts 14.8% of its chances, 30th in the league. Montreal used these lines in its last game and could change them.
Pick #2Under 6.5−129
Eleven of Montreal's 18 games have gone Over 6.5, but most of that belongs to the other goalie. Jakub Dobes has an .847 save percentage, and six of his seven starts went Over. The 11 games Fowler has started have averaged 5.4 goals. Six of them stayed Under, including all four on the road, where he allowed four goals in total.
Boston's games also run low. Twelve of its 18 have stayed Under, and six of nine at home. Nine of Swayman's 13 starts stayed Under, and three of DiPietro's five did. The -129 price puts the break-even at 56.3%, and the Under has drawn 76% of the money on 68% of the bets.
This loses if the offenses show up, and both can. Boston averages 3.72 goals a game and has scored six in five different games. Montreal has scored at least four in four of its last five, and Fowler gave up five to Winnipeg three starts ago.
Montreal could get help on defense. Mike Matheson, who has missed six games, practiced in full and traveled with the team, though his status isn't settled.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
