6 Best Bets & a +772 Parlay for NFL Sunday Week 11

November 20, 2022 by The OddsCrowd Analysts

Welcome to our Week 11 NFL Sunday Betting Preview where we provide you with our 6 best bets for the day, and a +772 3 Leg Parlay taken from our strongest conviction bets for the day.

Detroit Lions @ New York Giants

The forecast suggests there will be some pretty hefty winds at Met Life Stadium for this matchup. An interesting fact is that wind has a larger impact on score than rain or snow. With the Giants being a low scoring team these last four games (all games have hit the Under) and Detroit hardly being an offensive powerhouse we think this will hit the Under. The OddsCrowd Algorithm is seeing a 2.3% +EV Edge on the Under at the time of writing.

Pick: Under 45

Los Angeles Rams @ New Orleans Saints

Neither of these offences are putting up big scores in recent weeks. New Orleans are coming in off two losses where they only managed to score 10 and 13 points respectively. The Rams are coming in off a three loss streak, with their largest score being last week against the Rams where they put up 17 points. We think the Under is again the play here. The Answer Key (309-270) is taking the Under at 39. The OddsCrowd Algorithm is also seeing a 3.1% +EV Edge.

Pick: Under 39

Philadelphia Eagles @ Indianapolis Colts

The Eagles head to the Colts to try to get back on track after their first loss for the season last week. The Commanders managed to expose the crack in the armour of the Eagles, in pressuring their run defense. The Colts will likely try the same tactic. The Answer Key (309-270) is taking the Colts at +6.5. The OddsCrowd Algorithm is also seeing a 2.5% +EV Edge when betting with Pointsbet.

Pick: Colts +6.5

Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons

Chicago's offense has turned things around following their surprise win against the Pats a few weeks ago. Young QB Justin Fields leads the top rushing attack in the NFL. He has rushed for a combined 325 yards in his last two games. We think this will lead them to an underdog win on the road here. Top performing bettor Ben (51-33) is taking the Bears at the Moneyline.

Pick: Bears Moneyline

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers head into this one as home underdogs. Mike Tomlin has an almost unbelievable record as home underdogs. He is 15-8 straight up, and 17-3-3 as a home underdog since 2007. Ben (51-33) and The Answer Key (309-270) think this trend will continue, and are taking the Steelers at +3.5.

Pick: Steelers +3.5

Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers

We like the look of the Chargers in this Sunday Night Football matchup. Justin Herbert is 3-1 ATS in his head-to-head matchups with Patrick Mahomes. Each of those games has also been determined by six points or fewer. Herbert is also 5-0 ATS as a 5-point underdog or more in his career. Further to this, the Chiefs are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games, following a straight-up win. Mgriff026 (108-82) is taking the Chargers at +6. The OddsCrowd Algorithm is seeing a 5% +EV Edge when betting the Moneyline.

Pick: Chargers +6