Fact checked at 8:00 AM ET, Nov 10, 2026Odds as of 7:27 AM ET, Nov 10, 2026
The Avalanche (10-6-2) open a road trip against the Maple Leafs (8-9-2) at 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena. Toronto has lost three straight at home, scoring two goals or fewer in each, and New Jersey shut it out 4-0 two nights ago on the second night of a back-to-back. Morgan Rielly, Jack Roslovic and Colton Sissons are all day-to-day with lower-body injuries, and Kirill Marchenko is out. Colorado has had two days off since a 4-0 home win over Detroit.
Goals should come tonight, and most of them Colorado's. The Avalanche score 4.00 a game, third in the league, while Toronto allows 3.32, 21st. Sergei Bobrovsky is expected back in Toronto's net after Anthony Stolarz started two nights ago, and Bobrovsky has an .886 save percentage in 12 starts. Mackenzie Blackwood is projected for Colorado. Neither team has confirmed its starter. Toronto can still score a couple: its power play converts 28.6% of the time, and it beat Colorado 6-3 in Denver in the first meeting.
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Predictions
Pick #1Avalanche -1.5+154
When Colorado wins, it usually wins clean. It has won by two or more in 9 of 18 games, and all 10 of its wins came in regulation. The puck line at +154 implies a 39.4% chance, well below what this team has actually done. And Toronto is banged up. Rielly leads its defensemen in points, and Roslovic has 18 points in 18 games, most of them beside Auston Matthews. Both missed the loss to New Jersey, and Sissons left that game after two periods.
Bobrovsky is 3-7-2 with a 3.34 goals-against average, and he is about to face a team that averages 30.6 shots, third in the league. The betting splits point the same direction: 97% of the puck-line money is on Colorado, on 80% of the bets.
A repeat of the first meeting, when Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 33 in a Toronto win, beats this, and so does any one-goal game. If Stolarz gets the start instead, Toronto has the goalie with the better numbers this season (.908), and a two-goal margin gets harder.
Pick #2Over 6.5−117
Toronto has trouble keeping the puck out of its own net, and it can still score. Toronto puts up 3.37 goals per game, and its power play gives it a path onto the board even on a night Colorado runs the game. Colorado's games have gone over 6.5 in 12 of 18, Toronto's in 10 of 19. At -117 the break-even is 53.9%, and the first meeting produced nine goals.
Colorado's own crease isn't airtight either. The Avalanche allow 3.06 a game, and Blackwood brings a .901 save percentage. Bettors are there too: 92% of the money on the total sits on the Over, on 75% of the bets.
Toronto's recent scoring is the soft spot: the Leafs have four goals in their last three home games. A goaltending duel sinks this regardless of who wins.
Pick #3Artturi Lehkonen Over 1.5 Shots on Goal−150
Lehkonen leads Colorado with 12 goals and played left wing with Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas in the last game. He averages 18:37 a night. This season he has cleared 1.5 shots in 12 of 18 games (66.7%), and last season he did it in 47 of 69 (68.1%). Both beat the 60.0% that -150 implies, and he is 9 for his last 10.
Toronto gives up 29.6 shots a game, sixth-most in the league. If Colorado lives in the offensive zone as it should, his line gets the biggest share of that time.
He has finished on exactly two shots seven times this season, so one fewer turns a win into a loss. Earlier this season he went five straight games with one shot or none, and he plays on the second power-play unit, which limits his extra looks. If he drops off MacKinnon's line, the case gets thinner.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
