Wizards vs. Pistons Prediction, NBA Odds & Best Bets (11/9)

Fact checked at 9:41 AM ET, Nov 9, 2026

Odds as of 8:30 AM ET, Nov 9, 2026

One of the league's weakest offenses walks into the building with its best defense at 7:00 PM ET in Detroit, and we expect a low-scoring game. The Pistons (6-3) allow 103.9 points per game, the fewest in the NBA. The Wizards (4-6) score 107.8, fifth-fewest, and managed 75 at Oklahoma City in their last game. Detroit isn't likely to make up the difference. Its offense ranks 20th at 111.7 points per game, and it plays the second night of a back-to-back after losing 121-116 to the Lakers last night. Both picks are Unders on the same game: Washington held down, and not enough Detroit scoring to carry the total over.

Anthony Davis is questionable on the latest official injury report with a right ankle sprain after missing Washington's last two games, and Reece Beekman, Justin Champagnie, Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins are out. Detroit has played its last five games without Jalen Duren and Isaiah Joe. Detroit is a 10.5-point favorite.

Wizards vs. Pistons Predictions

• Pick #1: Under 218.5 (-108)
• Pick #2: Wizards Team Total Under 103.5 (-116)

PICK #1: Under 218.5 (-108)

Six of Detroit's nine games have finished under 218.5. Washington is five for 10, which makes 11 of the 19 games these teams have played this season, and -108 only implies a 51.9% chance.

Washington's side of it is easy to see. The Wizards average 107.8 points, they face a defense that allows 103.9, and they shot 7 of 43 from three in the 114-75 loss at Oklahoma City. Detroit's side is the part we think the total underrates. Against the Lakers, Daniss Jenkins scored 31 and Kevin Huerter 24 off the bench, more than the five starters' 49 combined, and the Pistons needed every point after falling behind 40-14 early in the second quarter. Cade Cunningham went 6 of 15 for 14. Now that group plays again on no rest, still without Duren and Joe.

The money is heavier on this side than the ticket count: 84% of the money on the total is on the Under, from 65% of the bets.

Shooting is the danger. Washington made 18 threes in a 139-132 loss at Atlanta two games ago, a 271-point game, and Detroit hit 19 threes in the 237-point loss to the Lakers. A Davis return would also add a scorer who put up 25, 27 and 26 in his last three games.

PICK #2: Wizards Team Total Under 103.5 (-116)

Washington has played four games against defenses in the top half of the league in points allowed, and it scored 75, 95, 102 and 103. Four games is a small set. Still, all four stayed under 103.5, and none of those defenses is as good as Detroit's. This number asks the Wizards to score about four points fewer than their season average against the defense that allows the fewest.

Davis matters less here than you'd expect. In his last three games, all of which he played and scored at least 25, Washington scored 95, 103 and 105, and it stayed under 103.5 in four of the eight games he played. Without him the results swung from 132 at Atlanta to 75 at Oklahoma City. Over the full season Washington has stayed under this number in five of 10, a bit below the 53.7% that -116 implies. We're paying for the opponent. This is the league's stingiest defense, and the season average was built mostly against softer ones.

Another night like the 132 at Atlanta, two games ago, when Washington made 18 threes, would beat this. If Detroit's legs go on the second night of a back-to-back, the open looks could come with them.

21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.