Wild vs. Oilers Prediction, NHL Odds & Best Bets (10/20)

Fact checked at 8:00 AM ET, Oct 20, 2026

Odds as of Oct 20, 7:08 AM ET

Edmonton is 6-1-1 and leads the league at 4.62 goals per game. Connor McDavid has 23 points in eight games and hasn't been held off the scoresheet once, and new coach Mike Babcock has kept him and Leon Draisaitl together at even strength all season. The shot numbers tell a different story. The Oilers average 24.4 shots a game, tied for 26th, and allow 26.1, which means those 37 goals have come on roughly 19% shooting, a rate that is hard to sustain. Their penalty kill sits at 70.8%, 25th in the league, and Devon Levi is stopping .898. Edmonton is 5-0-0 on the road but only 1-1-1 at Rogers Place. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is on injured reserve, and Zach Hyman came back Saturday at Utah.

Minnesota shows up at 6-2-1 and looks like the sounder team. The Wild take 29.8 shots a game (10th) and allow 25.4 (eighth-fewest). Their power play converts 32.1%, second in the league, and their kill is at 89.3%. Jesper Wallstedt is 6-1-1 with a 1.99 goals-against average and a .922 save percentage. All of that without Brock Faber, who has missed the whole season with a skull fracture, and Sunday's 2-1 win over Columbus came without Jared Spurgeon and Olli Maatta too. The Wild also swept last season's series 3-0 and won both games in Edmonton, 1-0 and 7-3.

Wallstedt is expected in goal for Minnesota and Levi for Edmonton. The consensus has Edmonton -134 and Minnesota +113, with the total at 6.5. Puck drop is Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET at Rogers Place in Edmonton.

We think Minnesota wins this in the crease and on special teams, with Kirill Kaprizov doing the damage. Both picks cash in that game.

Wild vs. Oilers Predictions

• Pick #1: Kirill Kaprizov Anytime Goal (+125)
• Pick #2: Wild Moneyline (+113)

PICK #1: Kirill Kaprizov Anytime Goal (+125)

Nobody in the NHL has more goals than Kaprizov's 10, and he's done it in nine games. He has scored in six of them, including the last three: two against Winnipeg, one against St. Louis and a power-play goal against Columbus.

The hot start has a long record behind it. Last season he scored 45 goals in 78 games and found the net in 37 of them, which is 47.4% of the time. The +125 price implies 44.4%, so an ordinary Kaprizov season already beats the number. Then add the matchup. He plays about 21 and a half minutes a night on the top line with Joel Eriksson Ek and Matt Boldy, and he's on the first unit of a power play converting 32.1%, against an Edmonton kill at 70.8% with a .898 goalie behind it. He scored on the power play in that 7-3 win in Edmonton on Jan. 31.

The worry is regression. He's shooting 32.3% on 31 shots, and that will come down. He also scored in just one of the three meetings last season.

PICK #2: Wild Moneyline (+113)

If Kaprizov scores, Minnesota is in good shape, and the rest of the matchup points the same way. The Wild outshoot opponents 29.8 to 25.4 a game, while Edmonton takes fewer shots than it gives up. Wallstedt is at .922, Levi at .898. Minnesota has the league's second-best power play and an 89.3% kill. Edmonton kills 70.8%. And for all the road wins, the Oilers are 1-1-1 at home.

The +113 price means a 46.9% chance. We'd put a team with those edges in goal and on special teams, facing an opponent living on 19% shooting, close to a coin flip or better. Two regulation wins in Edmonton last season don't hurt the case either.

McDavid and Draisaitl are the obvious problem, because they can bury anybody on a given night. Minnesota's blue line is thin, with Daemon Hunt, David Spacek and Matt Kiersted all playing real minutes. The Wild are also just 2-2-1 on the road, and Edmonton is coming off a 6-2 win at Utah. It's a standard moneyline, so overtime and a shootout count.

21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.