Spurs vs. Suns Prediction, NBA Odds & Best Bets (11/9)

Fact checked at 9:41 AM ET, Nov 9, 2026
Odds as of 8:31 AM ET, Nov 9, 2026
San Antonio brings an eight-game winning streak into Phoenix for a 9:00 PM ET tip at Mortgage Matchup Center. The Spurs (8-2) are 4-0 on the road and 8.5-point favorites here, with the total at 227. They score 118.4 points a game and allow 108.1. The Suns (3-5) score 112.4 and allow 118.6. Phoenix has won two straight for the first time this season, most recently 102-99 over Houston, a game in which Devin Booker scored his team's last nine points. The public is on San Antonio to win, with 91% of the moneyline bets, while 62% of the spread money, on 50% of the bets, has come in on Phoenix. We're staying off the side and going to the benches.
Depth separates these teams, and both picks come from that gap. San Antonio's second unit plays real minutes and keeps producing when games get lopsided, and the Spurs average 48.5 rebounds a game to Phoenix's 39.3. Phoenix gets its scoring from the starters. Its backup guard is out there to run the offense, and the shots go elsewhere.
San Antonio lists Devin Vassell as questionable with left adductor tightness, and Tobias Harris (left calf strain) and Jayden Quaintance (right knee surgery) are out. Phoenix lists Jordan Goodwin as questionable with a right calf injury after he missed the last three games. Mark Williams is out after left shoulder surgery and hasn't played in any of the Suns' last five games.
Spurs vs. Suns Predictions
- Pick #1: Collin Gillespie Under 8.5 Points (-112)
- Pick #2: Julian Champagnie Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-125)
PICK #1: Collin Gillespie Under 8.5 Points (-112)
Phoenix has found a starting five it likes, and Gillespie isn't in it. Booker, Jalen Green, Dillon Brooks, Miles Bridges and Oso Ighodaro started both of the Suns' wins, and Gillespie scored 6 in 24 minutes and 7 in 20 off the bench. He's come off the bench in each of the last five games. Booker averages 25.3 points, Bridges 16.9 and Brooks 16.8, and against a team this good the ball will find them. Gillespie's job is to set people up. He had 10 assists against Denver.
His season log backs that up. He's scored 0, 11, 9, 16, 3, 2, 6 and 7, so he's stayed under 8.5 in five of eight games. At -112 the Under implies 52.8%, and we think his role puts him under more often than that.
A blowout doesn't seem to help him either. In the 41-point loss at Portland he went 0-for-8 in 21 minutes. And if Goodwin returns, Phoenix has one more guard for the second unit.
A long, tight game is how he gets there. His 16 points came against Denver in 33 minutes, his heaviest workload of the season, in a seven-point loss. He's played between 20 and 28 minutes in every other game.
PICK #2: Julian Champagnie Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-125)
San Antonio's bench keeps playing even when the game is decided. In the 22-point win at Portland, Wembanyama played only 24 minutes, and Champagnie logged 21 with 14 points, four threes and four rebounds. It was the second time this season he's made at least four threes in a game.
He's cleared 13.5 points plus rebounds in six of his 10 games and four of his last five, with 18, 15, 4, 14 and 15 from the latest game back. His minutes have slipped to 21 or 22 in each of the last four, and he still got there in three of them. The -125 price implies 55.6%. Against a Phoenix team that grabs nine fewer rebounds a game than San Antonio, we like his chances to beat it.
Vassell's status could add to his night. If Vassell sits, Champagnie is the likely choice to start in his place, and that means more minutes. If Vassell plays, Champagnie stays in the bench role that has cleared this number most nights.
Cold shooting is the threat. Against Dallas he went scoreless, 0-for-5 from three, with four rebounds in 21 minutes. Most of his shots come from deep, so a night like that leaves the rebounds to carry the whole number.
21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.


