Spurs vs Knicks 2026 NBA Finals Game 4 Picks

The 2026 NBA Finals head into a pivotal Game 4 this Thursday night at Madison Square Garden, with tip-off scheduled for 8:30 PM ET on ABC. After the San Antonio Spurs dropped the first two games on their home floor, they responded with a gutsy, hard-fought 115-111 victory in a raucous, star-studded Game 3 environment to cut the series deficit to 2-1. 

The New York Knicks saw their historic 13-game playoff win streak snapped, but they remain slight home favorites to take a commanding 3-1 lead. With just one day of rest before this critical matchup, the adjustment battle between Mitch Johnson and Mike Brown will dictate who captures momentum in NYC.

Spurs vs Knicks Game 4 Predictions

Pick #1: San Antonio Spurs ML over New York Knicks (+115)

Pick #2: Under 216.5 (-110)

Pick #3: OG Anunoby over 16.5 points (-115)

PICK #1: Spurs ML over Knicks (+115)

The San Antonio Spurs showed immense resilience in Game 3, shrugging off a hostile crowd and a brutal second-quarter punch from New York to secure a must-win victory. The most encouraging sign for San Antonio is that they won on the road despite their backcourt of De'Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper combining to go 9-of-32 from the field and 1-of-13 from beyond the arc.

San Antonio still has another gear to reach, and it is highly unlikely that Fox and Harper shoot that poorly in consecutive games. The Spurs managed to neutralize Karl-Anthony Towns offensively in Game 3, holding him to just 11 points after he dominated the opening two games. If the Spurs' other guards can find their rhythm to complement Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle, San Antonio has the higher ceiling. The trend of the road team winning continues as the Spurs level the series.

PICK #2: Under 216.5 (-110)

While Game 3 featured some explosive offensive stretches in the first half, the second half quickly devolved into a classic postseason rock fight. At one point in the fourth quarter, both teams combined to miss 15 consecutive three-point attempts as defensive rotations tightened and fatigue set in.

With only 48 hours between Game 3 and Game 4, tired legs will play a significant factor. Wembanyama was extended to 39 heavy minutes in Game 3, and playing at that intensity against New York's physical frontcourt will take a toll. Expect both coaching staffs to implement defensive adjustments that take away clean looks early in the shot clock. As execution slows down and half-court defense takes center stage, this game should comfortably fall under the 216.5-point threshold.

PICK #3: OG Anunoby over 16.5 points (-115)

OG Anunoby has been nothing short of phenomenal for the Knicks throughout this entire postseason run, averaging 19.9 points per game over 15 playoff appearances while shooting a blistering 57% from the floor and 47.4% from deep. He extended his stellar play with a 28-point performance in Game 3 and has cleared this 16.5-point line in 12 of his 15 playoff games, including all three matchups in the NBA Finals.

As the Spurs’ defense continues to sell out to contain Jalen Brunson and limit Towns' touches, Anunoby is reaping the rewards. He is capitalizing on improved three-level scoring, utilizing patient, strong drives to the rim off two feet when defenders close out too hard on his perimeter looks. With a reliable volume of targets in New York's offense, backing Anunoby to clear 17 points at home is the best player prop value on the board.