Lakers vs. Hawks Prediction, NBA Odds & Best Bets (11/9)

Fact checked at 9:40 AM ET, Nov 9, 2026

Odds as of 8:31 AM ET, Nov 9, 2026

The Lakers (9-2) bring a five-game winning streak into State Farm Arena for a 7:00 PM ET tip against the Hawks (7-4), who have won four straight. Los Angeles won 121-116 at Detroit last night without Luka Doncic, who sat with lower-back tightness, and Austin Reaves poured in 43. Both picks rest on one script: Doncic plays the second night of the back-to-back, and this turns into a shootout on Atlanta's floor. He leads the league at 40.1 points a game, the Hawks' home games have averaged 244.4 combined points, and a game that runs that high puts a lot of misses in the air for CJ McCollum off the bench.

Lakers vs. Hawks Predictions

• Pick #1: Over 236.5 (-109)
• Pick #2: CJ McCollum Over 2.5 Rebounds (+142)

PICK #1: Over 236.5 (-109)

Six of the nine games Doncic has played went over 236.5, and the Lakers have scored 124.1 points a game with him on the floor.

Atlanta's building helps. In five home games the Hawks have scored 121.6 and allowed 122.8 a game, and three of those five cleared this number, including a 139-132 win over Washington. Neither defense has been stingy, either: the Lakers allow 114.5 a game and the Hawks 115.5. The betting splits point the same way, with 84% of the money on the Over from 67% of the bets. At -109 the price implies a 52.2% chance, and we think a Lakers offense with Doncic in this building beats that.

The risk is Doncic. This pick needs him in uniform. He sat last night, and the Lakers' two games without him this season produced 103 and 121 points. Their road games have also run lower than their home games, with two of five going over 236.5.

PICK #2: CJ McCollum Over 2.5 Rebounds (+142)

Since moving to the bench, McCollum has hit three rebounds every time out. Kingston Flemings has started in his place for three straight games, and McCollum grabbed 5 in 25 minutes and 3 in 23 against Washington, then 4 in 21 against Brooklyn in Jalen Johnson's first game back. Flemings is projected to start again, which keeps McCollum in that role.

Three games isn't much to go on, but the full season holds up too. He has reached three rebounds in 5 of his 11 games, about 45%, while +142 implies 41.3%. As a starter he got there in only two of eight games, one of them a 9-rebound night at Indiana, so the bench role is the reason to back him here. A game that runs to the total means plenty of shots going up and plenty of misses for a guard to grab.

Minutes are the catch. He has played 21 to 25 off the bench, and a short night leaves little room. The Under sits at -188, so the market expects him to stay under. Jock Landale is questionable with a hip strain, and his return would deepen Atlanta's frontcourt.

21+ (18+ where permitted). Odds subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.